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Thunder vs Pacers NBA Finals Game 6 Odds & Expert Picks

Oklahoma City and Indiana will meet on the court at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in game 6 of the NBA Finals.

(Photo by Getty Images) Pascal Siakam

Oklahoma City (3-2) at Indiana (2-3)

  • When: Jun 19 2025, 8:30 PM
  • Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
  • TV: ABC

Thunder vs. Pacers – NBA Finals Game 6 Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Odds: Oklahoma City -6.0 | Total221.5

Oklahoma City Thunder Outlook

The Thunder are one win away from securing their first-ever NBA championship, and they’re laser-focused heading into Game 6 in Indiana. Coach Mark Daigneault is pushing a “0-0 mindset” as OKC prepares to close the door on the series with a 3-2 edge.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has played like a man possessed, putting up 66 points across Games 4 and 5. But the real shock to Indiana’s system? Jalen Williams, who exploded for 67 points over those two games, including a 40-piece in Game 5 that left the Pacers scrambling to shift defensive coverage.

This Thunder team is clicking on all cylinders. They’ve already been through a Game 6 letdown once in these playoffs (against Denver), and they’re not about to let history repeat itself.

Prediction: If OKC’s stars stay hot and the defense keeps Haliburton in check, the Thunder hoist the trophy.

Player Prop Picks (Thunder):

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderOver 28.5 Points – Star player, big stage, expect buckets in Game 6.

Jalen WilliamsOver 23.5 Points – Coming off 40, hot hand keeps torching the Pacers.

Indiana Pacers Outlook

Indiana’s back is against the wall, and it might have to fight out of the corner without a fully healthy Tyrese Haliburton. The All-Star guard is battling a calf strain and likely won’t be at full speed if he does play.

That means Pascal Siakam becomes the go-to option, again. He poured in 28 points in Game 5 and knows he has to carry the load if the Pacers hope to stretch this series to a Game 7. Indiana will need more than just scoring, though their defense has to find answers for both SGA and J-Dub.

Coach Rick Carlisle will try to rally the troops the same way he did against the Knicks last postseason, but without a healthy Haliburton and against a locked-in Thunder squad, the task is daunting.

Player Prop Picks (Pacers):

Pascal SiakamOver 21.5 Points – Veteran leader, driving force, reliable scoring when stakes are high.

Bennedict MathurinOver 13.5 Points – Instant spark plug, scoring threat, thrives in high-pressure moments.

Game 6 Prediction and Final Score

This is a close-out spot for a Thunder team that’s matured beyond its years. With two scorers playing elite-level basketball and the Pacers reeling on both ends, this feels like OKC’s night.

Spread: Thunder -6.0
ToralUnder 221.5
Final Score Prediction:
 Oklahoma City 115, Indiana 104

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