Oklahoma City (1-2) at Indiana (2-1)
- When: Jun 13 2025, 8:30 PM
- Where: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN, USA
- TV: ABC
Thunder vs. Pacers – NBA Finals Game 4 Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Odds: Oklahoma City -6.0 | Total: 227.0
Oklahoma City Thunder Breakdown
The Thunder find themselves trailing 2-1 in the series, but there’s no panic in the OKC camp. This team has been in this position before and rallied, notably in the second round against Denver. Coach Mark Daigneault isn’t changing much in the game plan, compete hard, stay sharp defensively, and return to their core identity.
MVP Shai Gilgeous-Alexander knows the Thunder’s fate hinges on staying true to their season-long strengths. Defensive intensity has dipped, especially late in games, where the Pacers have outscored them 67-43 in the fourth quarter of their two wins. Expect a major emphasis on closing strong.
Top OKC Player Props Picks:
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Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 33.5 Points – SGA always responds big after a loss, and this feels like a takeover spot.
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Jalen Williams Over 4.5 Assists – With defenses collapsing on SGA, J-Dub’s playmaking role should expand.
Prediction: Thunder bounce back with a gritty home-road energy and cover the spread.
Indiana Pacers Breakdown
The Pacers have embraced their underdog role and they’re thriving. They’ve held the edge in every playoff series and aren’t changing course now. Tyrese Haliburton was electric in Game 3 with 22 points, 11 assists, and 9 rebounds, and he’ll be the engine again if Indiana wants to pull off another win.
Coach Rick Carlisle emphasized grit and consistency, and Myles Turner (still battling illness) continues to make timely plays. However, Indiana’s 51.8% shooting from Game 3 isn’t sustainable unless OKC continues its defensive lapses.
Top Pacers Player Props Picks:
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Tyrese Haliburton Over 8.5 Assists – He’s the conductor of this offense and thrives in these high-leverage moments.
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Pascal Siakam Over 19.5 Points – His midrange and transition game will be key against OKC’s defensive adjustments.
Prediction: Indiana keeps it tight early, but Thunder pull away late to even the series.
Spread: Thunder -6.0
Toral: Under 227.0
Final Score Prediction: Oklahoma City 116, Indiana 107
- NBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
