Toronto (12-13) at NY Yankees (15-10)
- When: Apr 25 2025, 7:05 PM
- Where: Yankee Stadium, Bronx
- Where to watch: SN1
Yankees vs. Blue Jays Betting Breakdown, Prediction & Player Prop Picks
Moneyline: Yankees -130 | Total: 9.0
New York Yankees Outlook
The Yankees return home riding momentum after a solid 4-3 road trip and now begin a critical nine-game stretch within the AL East. They’ve been dominant outside the division but now need to prove they can handle rivals, starting with the slumping Blue Jays.
Aaron Judge is putting together a ridiculous stretch, leading the majors with a .415 average and a 1.247 OPS. He’s on a 21-game on-base streak and has multiple times on base in 19 games already. With Jose Berríos on the mound—a pitcher Judge has owned (11-for-32, 4 HR, 9 RBIs)—this is a prime spot for another big performance.
Paul Goldschmidt continues to shine as well, hitting .383 on the season and .419 over his last 19 games. New York’s offense is clicking at the top, and if the bottom half holds up, they could put this one away early.
Carlos Carrasco (2-1, 6.53 ERA) gets the ball for New York. He’s been shaky overall, but has decent historical numbers vs. Toronto (5-2, 4.70 ERA) and pitched well the last time he faced them.
Yankees Prop Picks:
Aaron Judge to Record 2+ Hits
Paul Goldschmidt Over 1.5 Total Bases
Carlos Carrasco Over 4.5 Strikeouts
Toronto Blue Jays Outlook
Toronto enters this series ice-cold, riding a five-game losing streak while being outscored 31-9. The lineup is lost—hitting just .188 during the skid—and key bats like Anthony Santander and Alejandro Kirk are offering nothing at the plate.
Vlad Guerrero Jr. and Bo Bichette are offering minor resistance, but there’s no consistency in this offense right now. Jose Berríos (1-1, 5.02 ERA) has been inconsistent and has struggled mightily in his career against the Yankees. Given Judge’s history off Berríos, the margin for error is razor-thin.
Toronto is hoping a change of scenery shakes the funk, but Yankee Stadium is rarely the place to find a rhythm—especially against a red-hot New York offense.
Blue Jays Prop Picks:
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 1.5 Total Bases
Bo Bichette to Record a Hit
Jose Berríos Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed
Game Prediction & Betting Angle
New York is surging, while Toronto is stuck in a serious funk. With Judge locked in and Carrasco’s track record vs. the Jays holding up, the Yankees should take this series opener. Berríos’ issues vs. New York—and especially vs. Judge—tip the edge even further.
Pick: Yankees ML (-130)
Prediction: Yankees 5, Blue Jays 3
Lean: Under 9.0 (-105) – If Carrasco keeps things manageable and Berríos doesn’t implode, this total could stay under despite New York’s firepower.
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
