Toronto (2-0) at Ottawa (0-2)
- When: Apr 24 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa, ON, CAN
- TV: ESPN2
Game Preview & Prediction: Maple Leafs vs Senators – Game 3
Moneyline Favorite: Ottawa -117 | Total: 5.5
The Toronto Maple Leafs are in unfamiliar postseason territory—successfully up 2-0 in a playoff series—and they’ll look to maintain momentum as they head to Ottawa for Game 3 of this Canadian rivalry matchup. A win Thursday would give the Leafs a commanding 3-0 series edge and inch them closer to a second-round appearance, something they’ve only managed once since 2004.
Toronto eked out a 3-2 overtime win in Game 2 after jumping out to a 2-0 lead early, only to be pushed to the limit by a feisty Senators squad. Max Domi played hero with the game-winner, while the Leafs continued their blistering run on the power play—now 4-for-7 (57.1%) through two games. That special teams efficiency has been a game-changer.
But what’s truly setting Toronto apart this time around isn’t just their star-laden offense—it’s their willingness to do the dirty work. The Leafs have already logged 50 blocked shots in the series, a clear indicator that they’re fully buying into playoff-style hockey. Even stars like Auston Matthews and Mitch Marner are stepping into shooting lanes, which speaks volumes about the team’s mindset.
The Ottawa Senators are back in the playoffs for the first time since 2017, but they’ve had a tough go adjusting to the intensity. Despite being down 0-2, the Sens are far from out of it. They’ve played the Leafs nearly even at 5-on-5, but their slow starts have been costly—falling behind 2-0 in both games so far. That has to change if they want to avoid a near-impossible comeback scenario.
Brady Tkachuk’s leadership and physical edge will be crucial in front of the home crowd, and Drake Batherson noted that Ottawa is confident and ready to push back. The Senators must stay disciplined and avoid putting the Leafs back on the power play—Toronto’s been nearly automatic with the man advantage.
Gambling Prediction:
While the series score suggests Toronto has control, this is a dangerous game for them. Ottawa will be energized at home, and desperate teams tend to respond. However, the Maple Leafs’ experience and special teams edge give them the upper hand again here.
Score Prediction: Maple Leafs 3, Senators 2
Best Bet: Toronto ML (-103)
Leans: Under 5.5 (-105) – Expect tighter checking and playoff nerves to keep this one close and low scoring.
- NHL Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
