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UFC 329 MMA Event
Event: UFC 329 McGregor vs Holloway 2
Date: Saturday, July 11, 2026
Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Location: Paradise, Nevada, United States
High-Stakes Return for The Notorious
UFC 329 takes center stage Saturday at T-Mobile Arena in Las Vegas with one of the year’s most anticipated betting events. The spotlight belongs to Conor McGregor, who returns to the Octagon for the first time in years to renew his rivalry with Max Holloway in a welterweight main event. McGregor earned a decision victory in their first meeting back in 2013, but both fighters enter this rematch under very different circumstances.
Holloway is looking to rebound after surrendering the BMF title to Charles Oliveira, while McGregor aims to prove he can still compete at the elite level following a lengthy layoff. Bettors should closely monitor McGregor’s conditioning, striking rhythm, and durability against Holloway’s relentless pace and high-volume offense. With two proven stars sharing the cage, expect plenty of action across moneyline, method of victory, round props, and live betting markets.
Read on to see our picks and predictions.
Here are the Odds & Props:
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight Winner
Conor McGregor +182
Max Holloway -218
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Point Spread
Conor McGregor 9.5 (+120)
Max Holloway -9.5 (-155)
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Main Total Rounds Over/Under
Over 2.5 (-110)
Under 2.5 (-120)
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Bout Specials (5 Rounds)
Max Holloway to Win & Round 2 to Start -145
Either Fighter to Win in Rounds 1 or 2 -115
Max Holloway to Win & Round 3 to Start +115
Either Fighter to Win in Rounds 1 or 5 +140
Either Fighter to Win in Rounds 2 or 3 +155
Max Holloway to Win & Round 4 to Start +200
Either Fighter to Win in Rounds 3 or 4 +235
Conor McGregor to Win & Round 2 to Start +325
Fight to be Won in the 4th Minute of any Round +325
Max Holloway to Win & Round 5 to Start +350
Either Fighter to Win in Rounds 4 or 5 +375
Fight to be Won in the 2nd Minute of any Round +450
Fight to be Won in the 5th Minute of any Round +450
Fight to be Won in the 3rd Minute of any Round +450
Either Fighter to Win in the 1st 3 Minutes of the Fight +475
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Method of Victory
Conor McGregor Wins by KO, TKO or DQ +270
Conor McGregor Wins by Submission +2500
Conor McGregor Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +1200
Max Holloway Wins by KO, TKO or DQ -120
Max Holloway Wins by Submission +1200
Max Holloway Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +650
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Method of Victory 2
Conor McGregor Wins by Unanimous Decision +1600
Conor McGregor Wins by Split or Majority Decision +2500
Max Holloway Wins by Unanimous Decision +550
Max Holloway Wins by Split or Majority Decision +1400
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Method of Victory
Conor McGregor Wins Inside Distance +235
Conor McGregor Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +1200
Max Holloway Wins Inside Distance -150
Max Holloway Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +650
Draw or Technical Draw +8000
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Exact Method of Victory
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO via Punches +250
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO via Kick +2500
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO via Knee +4000
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO via Elbow +2800
Conor McGregor by Submission via Rear Naked Choke +4000
Conor McGregor by Submission via Guillotine Choke +8000
Conor McGregor by Submission via Armbar +7000
Conor McGregor by Submission via Arm Triangle +15000
Max Holloway by TKO/KO via Punches EVEN
Max Holloway by TKO/KO via Kick +650
Max Holloway by TKO/KO via Knee +2000
Max Holloway by TKO/KO via Elbow +2200
Max Holloway by Submission via Rear Naked Choke +1800
Max Holloway by Submission via Guillotine Choke +4000
Max Holloway by Submission via D’Arce Choke +9000
Max Holloway by Submission via Armbar +10000
Max Holloway by Submission via Arm Triangle +10000
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Round and Method of Victory (5 Rounds)
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 1 +650
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 2 +1200
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3 +2000
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 4 +3300
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 5 +5000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Round 1 +5000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Round 2 +8000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Round 3 +12500
Conor McGregor by Submission in Round 4 +20000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Round 5 +30000
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 1 +600
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 2 +650
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3 +700
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 4 +900
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 5 +1200
Max Holloway by Submission in Round 1 +4500
Max Holloway by Submission in Round 2 +5000
Max Holloway by Submission in Round 3 +5000
Max Holloway by Submission in Round 4 +6500
Max Holloway by Submission in Round 5 +8000
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Round & Method of Victory (5 Rounds)
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1 or 2 +425
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +350
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2 or 3 +900
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +750
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3 or 4 +1800
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +1400
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 4 or 5 +2500
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 1 or 2 +3000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +2800
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 2 or 3 +6000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +5000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4 +10000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +8000
Conor McGregor by Submission in Rounds 4 or 5 +12500
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1 or 2 +275
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +165
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2 or 3 +325
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +200
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3 or 4 +375
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +250
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 4 or 5 +500
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 1 or 2 +2500
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +1800
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 2 or 3 +2500
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +2000
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4 +2800
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +2500
Max Holloway by Submission in Rounds 4 or 5 +3500
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Double Chance
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ or Submission +235
Conor McGregor by Submission or Decision +800
Conor McGregor by TKO/KO/DQ or Decision +200
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ or Submission -150
Max Holloway by Submission or Decision +400
Max Holloway by TKO/KO/DQ or Decision -185
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
How Will Fight End
KO/TKO/DQ -350
Submission +800
Decision +375
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Total Rounds Over/Under
Over 0.5 (-1200)
Under 0.5 (+650)
Over 1.5 (-230)
Under 1.5 (+175)
Over 3.5 (+150)
Under 3.5 (-200)
Over 4.5 (+265)
Under 4.5 (-385)
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Round Betting
Conor McGregor – Round 1 +600
Max Holloway – Round 1 +550
Conor McGregor – Round 2 +1000
Max Holloway – Round 2 +550
Conor McGregor – Round 3 +1800
Max Holloway – Round 3 +650
Conor McGregor – Round 4 +3300
Max Holloway – Round 4 +800
Conor McGregor – Round 5 +4000
Max Holloway – Round 5 +1000
Conor McGregor – By Points +1200
Max Holloway – By Points +650
Draw +8000
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Round Betting (5 Rounds)
Conor McGregor in Round 1, 2 or 3 +300
Conor McGregor in Round 4, 5 or by Decision +750
Max Holloway in Round 1, 2 or 3 +135
Max Holloway in Round 4, 5 or by Decision +200
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Round Betting 2
Conor McGregor in Round 1 or 2 +450
Conor McGregor in Round 3 or 4 +1200
Conor McGregor in Round 5 or by Decision +1000
Max Holloway in Round 1 or 2 +250
Max Holloway in Round 3 or 4 +325
Max Holloway in Round 5 or by Decision +350
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight Winner & Total Rounds
Conor McGregor & Under 0.5 Rounds +1200
Conor McGregor & Over 1.5 Rounds +350
Conor McGregor & Under 1.5 Rounds +450
Conor McGregor & Over 2.5 Rounds +550
Conor McGregor & Under 2.5 Rounds +325
Conor McGregor & Over 3.5 Rounds +750
Conor McGregor & Under 3.5 Rounds +275
Conor McGregor & Over 4.5 Rounds +1000
Max Holloway & Under 0.5 Rounds +1200
Max Holloway & Over 1.5 Rounds -140
Max Holloway & Under 1.5 Rounds +325
Max Holloway & Over 2.5 Rounds +130
Max Holloway & Under 2.5 Rounds +150
Max Holloway & Over 3.5 Rounds +225
Max Holloway & Under 3.5 Rounds -110
Max Holloway & Over 4.5 Rounds +400
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
When Will The Fight End (5 Rounds)
Round 1 +265
Round 2 +340
Round 3 +480
Round 4 +675
Round 5 +850
By Decision +375
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight To Complete 1 Full Round
Yes (Fight Completes 1 Full Round) -385
No (Fight Does Not Complete 1 Full Round) +265
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight To Complete 2 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 2 Full Rounds) -145
No (Fight Does Not Complete 2 Full Rounds) +110
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight To Complete 3 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 3 Full Rounds) +130
No (Fight Does Not Complete 3 Full Rounds) -170
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight To Complete 4 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 4 Full Rounds) +225
No (Fight Does Not Complete 4 Full Rounds) -310
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Will The Fight Go The Distance
Yes +375
No -600
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Fight Winner – Inside The Distance Only
Conor McGregor +185
Max Holloway -250
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Point Spread
Conor McGregor 5.5 (+140)
Max Holloway -5.5 (-185)
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Total Significant Strikes Landed O/U – Conor McGregor
Over 49.5 -115
Under 49.5 -115
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Total Significant Strikes Landed O/U – Max Holloway
Over 69.5 -115
Under 69.5 -115
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Total Significant Strikes – Conor McGregor
70+ +120
75+ +140
80+ +165
85+ +200
90+ +240
95+ +275
100+ +350
105+ +400
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Total Significant Strikes – Max Holloway
90+ +110
95+ +130
100+ +150
105+ +175
110+ +200
115+ +225
120+ +250
125+ +300
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Total Takedowns Landed O/U – Conor McGregor
Over 0.5 +300
Under 0.5 -450
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Total Takedowns Landed O/U – Max Holloway
Over 0.5 +400
Under 0.5 -650
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Total Takedowns – Conor McGregor
2+ +600
3+ +900
4+ +1100
Conor McGregor vs Max Holloway
Alternate Total Takedowns – Max Holloway
2+ +700
3+ +900
4+ +1200
- UFC Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get more and latest betting props here!
The Prediction: Max Holloway Wins by KO, TKO or DQ at (-110)
Conor McGregor remains dangerous early with his explosive power, but a lengthy layoff raises major questions about his timing and conditioning. Max Holloway enters as the sharper, more active fighter, backed by elite boxing, relentless pace, and proven cardio over five rounds. If Holloway survives the opening exchanges, he should take control as the fight progresses.
My best bet is Holloway to Win by KO, TKO or DQ at -110, capitalizing on sustained pressure and volume striking.
Bet on the UFC 329 at Bovada Sportsbook
