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UFC Fight Night
Event: UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Date: Saturday, August 22, 2026
Venue: Golden 1 Center
Location: Sacramento, California
Hernandez Submission Value Through Relentless Wrestling Pressure
UFC Fight Night lands in Sacramento tonight with Anthony “Fluffy” Hernandez facing Gregory “Robocop” Rodrigues in a middleweight main event loaded with betting intrigue. Hernandez (15-3-1), ranked No. 6, brings relentless wrestling pressure and owns the UFC middleweight record with 54 takedowns. He also has nine career submission victories, making his ground game the obvious path for bettors considering Hernandez after his eight-fight winning streak ended against Sean Strickland.
Rodrigues (19-6), ranked No. 11, offers the complete opposite betting angle. The Brazilian enters on a three-fight winning streak and has recorded 12 knockouts in 19 professional victories. His best chance is keeping the fight upright, defending Hernandez’s takedowns and letting his power do the damage. With Hernandez capable of drowning opponents through pace and Rodrigues possessing legitimate one-punch danger, bettors should expect a high-pressure stylistic battle where positioning and method-of-victory markets could become especially interesting.
Read on to see our picks for this UFC event
Here are the Odds & Props:
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight Winner
Anthony Hernandez -215
Gregory Rodrigues +180
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Point Spread
Anthony Hernandez -13.5 (-110)
Gregory Rodrigues 13.5 (-120)
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Main Total Rounds Over/Under
Over 2.5 (-110)
Under 2.5 (-120)
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Method of Victory
Anthony Hernandez Wins by KO, TKO or DQ +260
Anthony Hernandez Wins by Submission +260
Anthony Hernandez Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +450
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by KO, TKO or DQ +275
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by Submission +1800
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +1200
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Method of Victory 2
Anthony Hernandez Wins by Unanimous Decision +550
Anthony Hernandez Wins by Split or Majority Decision +1400
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by Unanimous Decision +1600
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by Split or Majority Decision +2500
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Method of Victory
Anthony Hernandez Wins Inside Distance -120
Anthony Hernandez Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +450
Gregory Rodrigues Wins Inside Distance +220
Gregory Rodrigues Wins by Decision or Technical Decision +1200
Draw or Technical Draw +8000
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Round and Method of Victory (5 Rounds)
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 1 +1000
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 2 +1200
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3 +1600
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 4 +1800
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 5 +2200
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Round 1 +1000
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Round 2 +1400
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Round 3 +1600
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Round 4 +1800
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Round 5 +2500
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 1 +700
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 2 +1400
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 3 +2000
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 4 +2800
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Round 5 +4000
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Round 1 +2800
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Round 2 +5000
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Round 3 +7000
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Round 4 +10000
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Round 5 +12500
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Round & Method of Victory (5 Rounds)
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1 or 2 +600
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +425
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2 or 3 +700
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +500
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3 or 4 +850
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +600
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 4 or 5 +900
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 1 or 2 +600
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +450
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 2 or 3 +700
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +500
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4 +850
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +600
Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 4 or 5 +1000
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1 or 2 +475
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +360
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2 or 3 +850
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +650
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3 or 4 +1200
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +1000
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ in Rounds 4 or 5 +1800
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 1 or 2 +2200
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 +1800
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 2 or 3 +3500
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 2, 3 or 4 +2800
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 3 or 4 +4500
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 3, 4 or 5 +4000
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission in Rounds 4 or 5 +8000
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Double Chance
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ or Submission -120
Anthony Hernandez by Submission or Decision +125
Anthony Hernandez by TKO/KO/DQ or Decision +125
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ or Submission +220
Gregory Rodrigues by Submission or Decision +700
Gregory Rodrigues by TKO/KO/DQ or Decision +200
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
How Will Fight End
KO/TKO/DQ -115
Submission +210
Decision +300
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Total Rounds Over/Under
Over 0.5 (-1100)
Under 0.5 (+600)
Over 1.5 (-230)
Under 1.5 (+175)
Over 3.5 (+155)
Under 3.5 (-205)
Over 4.5 (+250)
Under 4.5 (-350)
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Round Betting
Anthony Hernandez – Round 1 +550
Gregory Rodrigues – Round 1 +600
Anthony Hernandez – Round 2 +675
Gregory Rodrigues – Round 2 +1100
Anthony Hernandez – Round 3 +700
Gregory Rodrigues – Round 3 +1600
Anthony Hernandez – Round 4 +900
Gregory Rodrigues – Round 4 +3000
Anthony Hernandez – Round 5 +1200
Gregory Rodrigues – Round 5 +3500
Anthony Hernandez – By Points +450
Gregory Rodrigues – By Points +1200
Draw +8000
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Round Betting (5 Rounds)
Anthony Hernandez in Round 1, 2 or 3 +165
Anthony Hernandez in Round 4, 5 or by Decision +160
Gregory Rodrigues in Round 1, 2 or 3 +260
Gregory Rodrigues in Round 4, 5 or by Decision +700
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Round Betting 2
Anthony Hernandez in Round 1 or 2 +260
Anthony Hernandez in Round 3 or 4 +300
Anthony Hernandez in Round 5 or by Decision +300
Gregory Rodrigues in Round 1 or 2 +325
Gregory Rodrigues in Round 3 or 4 +1200
Gregory Rodrigues in Round 5 or by Decision +900
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight Winner & Total Rounds
Anthony Hernandez & Under 0.5 Rounds +1400
Anthony Hernandez & Over 1.5 Rounds -155
Anthony Hernandez & Under 1.5 Rounds +400
Anthony Hernandez & Over 2.5 Rounds +120
Anthony Hernandez & Under 2.5 Rounds +175
Anthony Hernandez & Over 3.5 Rounds +220
Anthony Hernandez & Under 3.5 Rounds EVEN
Anthony Hernandez & Over 4.5 Rounds +350
Gregory Rodrigues & Under 0.5 Rounds +1000
Gregory Rodrigues & Over 1.5 Rounds +400
Gregory Rodrigues & Under 1.5 Rounds +400
Gregory Rodrigues & Over 2.5 Rounds +550
Gregory Rodrigues & Under 2.5 Rounds +275
Gregory Rodrigues & Over 3.5 Rounds +750
Gregory Rodrigues & Under 3.5 Rounds +250
Gregory Rodrigues & Over 4.5 Rounds +1000
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
When Will The Fight End (5 Rounds)
Round 1 +265
Round 2 +400
Round 3 +485
Round 4 +700
Round 5 +900
By Decision +300
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight To Complete 1 Full Round
Yes (Fight Completes 1 Full Round) -400
No (Fight Does Not Complete 1 Full Round) +275
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight To Complete 2 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 2 Full Rounds) -150
No (Fight Does Not Complete 2 Full Rounds) +115
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight To Complete 3 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 3 Full Rounds) +125
No (Fight Does Not Complete 3 Full Rounds) -165
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight To Complete 4 Full Rounds
Yes (Fight Completes 4 Full Rounds) +185
No (Fight Does Not Complete 4 Full Rounds) -250
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Will The Fight Go The Distance
Yes +300
No -450
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight Winner – Inside The Distance Only
Anthony Hernandez -200
Gregory Rodrigues +150
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Fight Winner – Decision Only
Anthony Hernandez -300
Gregory Rodrigues +220
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Point Spread
Anthony Hernandez -9.5 (-120)
Gregory Rodrigues 9.5 (-110)
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Winning Minute
1st Minute of Round 1 +1200
2nd Minute of Round 1 +1000
3rd Minute of Round 1 +1000
4th Minute of Round 1 +850
5th Minute of Round 1 +1000
1st Minute of Round 2 +1800
2nd Minute of Round 2 +1400
3rd Minute of Round 2 +1400
4th Minute of Round 2 +1200
5th Minute of Round 2 +1400
1st Minute of Round 3 +2800
2nd Minute of Round 3 +2000
3rd Minute of Round 3 +2000
4th Minute of Round 3 +1600
5th Minute of Round 3 +2000
1st Minute of Round 4 +4000
2nd Minute of Round 4 +3000
3rd Minute of Round 4 +3000
4th Minute of Round 4 +2200
5th Minute of Round 4 +3000
1st Minute of Round 5 +5000
2nd Minute of Round 5 +4000
3rd Minute of Round 5 +4000
4th Minute of Round 5 +3300
5th Minute of Round 5 +4000
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Most Significant Strikes Landed
Anthony Hernandez -300
Gregory Rodrigues +220
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Most Takedowns Landed
Anthony Hernandez -1200
Gregory Rodrigues +650
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Total Significant Strikes Landed O/U – Anthony Hernandez
Over 47.5 -115
Under 47.5 -115
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Total Significant Strikes Landed O/U – Gregory Rodrigues
Over 29.5 -115
Under 29.5 -115
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Total Significant Strikes – Anthony Hernandez
60+ +110
65+ +130
70+ +155
75+ +185
80+ +215
85+ +250
90+ +300
95+ +350
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Total Significant Strikes – Gregory Rodrigues
40+ +110
45+ +130
50+ +165
55+ +185
60+ +225
65+ +275
70+ +330
75+ +400
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Total Takedowns Landed O/U – Anthony Hernandez
Over 3.5 -115
Under 3.5 -115
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Total Takedowns Landed O/U – Gregory Rodrigues
Over 0.5 +105
Under 0.5 -135
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Total Takedowns – Anthony Hernandez
5+ +110
6+ +180
7+ +275
8+ +350
9+ +450
Anthony Hernandez vs Gregory Rodrigues
Alternate Total Takedowns – Gregory Rodrigues
2+ +215
3+ +450
4+ +650
5+ +900
- UFC Odds & Props source: Bovada Sportsbook
- Get real-time latest betting odds here!
Favorite bets on the UFC Fight Night Hernandez vs Rodrigues
Anthony Hernandez by submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 offers an appealing plus-money angle. Hernandez averages 6.26 takedowns per 15 minutes and constantly chains wrestling attempts, forcing opponents to defend without a break
Gregory Rodrigues owns solid takedown defense, but Hernandez’s pace can drain his cardio quickly. As “Robocop” tires, defensive mistakes become more likely, opening the door for Hernandez to secure a choke or submission before Round 4.
The Prediction: Anthony Hernandez by Submission in Rounds 1, 2 or 3 (+450)
Bet on the UFC Fight Night at Bovada Sportsbook