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Padres Hunt Pirates for Fifth Time, Forget to Offer Life Jackets

Pittsburgh and San Diego will both be gunning for a victory when they meet at PETCO Park.

(Photo by Getty Images) Dylan Cease

Pittsburgh (21-37) at San Diego (32-23)

  • When: May 31 2025, 9:40 PM
  • Where: PETCO Park, San Diego
  • Where to watch: SDPA

Pirates vs. Padres: A Sea of Sandlot Shenanigans in San Diego

MoneylineSan Diego (-225)
Total: 8.0

San Diego Padres: Swingin’ for the Fences (And Sometimes All the Fences)

The Padres are looking as reliable at home as a stubborn seagull stealing your fries, 19-9 at Petco Park and 32-23 overall. They’ve been alternating between feasting and fasting, splitting their last ten games with a 5-5 mark but somehow still out-homered the competition with 52 round-trippers, good for 10th in the NL.

Fernando Tatis Jr. (yes, that’s “El Niño,” aka “the guy who hits baseballs through your neighbor’s windows”) has been a one-man wrecking crew: 13 homers, 28 RBIs, plus a handful of doubles and a triple that probably scarred an outfielder’s confidence for life. When he’s not showing gravity who’s boss, the sizzling Garrett “Gavin” Sheets is heating up: 9-for-39 in his last ten, a mini power surge courtesy of five dingers and 11 RBIs.

On the mound, Dylan Cease (1-3, 4.58 ERA) is set to start, and he’s been a bit like that one friend who promises to be on time but shows up 10 minutes late, erratic but entertaining. His 72 strikeouts illustrate his swing-and-miss arsenal, but his 1.25 WHIP suggests he sometimes lets baserunners RSVP uninvited.

Pittsburgh Pirates: Searching for Buried Treasure (And Runs)

The Pirates have spent more time in the shadow of Wrigley Rooftops than on top of the NL Central, sitting at 21-37 overall and a pathetic 8-21 on the road. They’re about as comforting as a three-day-old hot pocket, fielding a 6-24 record whenever they cough up a homer, which has been… often.

Andrew McCutchen, the once-and-future Pirate hero, is doing his best to keep the ship afloat with a .259 average, nine doubles, and a triple-digit wish to find more homers. Isiah Kiner-Falefa has chipped in with five RBIs in 13-for-36 heroics over the last ten, attempting to remind everyone he’s more than just a midnight call-up.

On Saturday’s mound is Bailey Falter (3-3, 3.47 ERA), who’s been about as consistent as night-and-day forecasts, good one week, meh the next. His 1.14 WHIP is respectable, though, and his 40 strikeouts hint he can still punch out hitters when his slider isn’t sliding into the left-field seats instead.

Final Score Prediction:

The Padres bat around early, Tatis hits number 14, and Cease settles in after a rocky first inning. Falter squeaks out quality but the bats remain sleepy. The Pirates manage a late rally like finding a single French fry under the couch. Padres -1.5 (EVEN). They’ve owned Pittsburgh 4-0 this season, and at home, they’re like a teenage kid with a credit card in Las Vegas dangerous.

Final Score Prediction: Padres 7, Pirates 2
Bets Bet: San Diego RL -1.5 (+100)
Total:  Over 8.0 (-105)

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