Los Angeles (4-9) at Minnesota (11-1)
- When: Jun 21 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Los Angeles vs. Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -10.0 | Total: 163.5
Minnesota Lynx Breakdown
The Lynx have already punched their ticket to the Commissioner’s Cup final, but they’re not letting the champagne pop just yet. Sitting at a stellar 11-1 record, Minnesota has dominated this season and especially the Sparks, beating them twice by double digits (89-75 and 101-78). Even without Napheesa Collier at full strength, the Lynx haven’t skipped a beat thanks to their depth.
Collier, who’s day-to-day with a back injury, leads the team with 24.4 points and 8.5 rebounds per game. If she’s sidelined or limited, Diamond Miller, fresh off a 12-point performance in just 14 minutes vs. Vegas, could see increased usage.
Minnesota’s offense ranks near the top of the league in scoring efficiency, and that should continue against a short-handed Sparks squad. With or without Collier, the Lynx are too cohesive and too deep to fumble this matchup.
Minnesota Player Prop Pick:
Kayla McBride Over 14.5 Points – McBride has been hot from beyond the arc and could take on more of the scoring load if Collier is limited.
Los Angeles Sparks Breakdown
The Sparks have been more of a flicker than a flame lately, losing six of their last eight games and missing key players left and right. Kelsey Plum returns from a leg injury and immediately resumes her role as the team’s offensive engine (20.9 PPG, 5.6 APG). But with names like Cameron Brink, Odyssey Sims, and Julie Allemand still out, LA’s roster continues to resemble a patchwork quilt.
Coach Lynne Roberts insists the team will figure it out eventually, but that might not happen against the hottest team in the W. The Sparks have already been blown out twice by Minnesota and face an uphill battle to avoid a three-peat of misery.
Los Angeles Player Prop Pick:
Kelsey Plum Over 5.5 Assists – If LA wants to keep this remotely competitive, Plum’s playmaking will be the engine that runs their offense.
Final Score Prediction:
This one could get ugly fast. The Lynx have beaten the Sparks by a combined 37 points in their previous two meetings, and with their depth, they should cruise again, even if Collier doesn’t suit up. LA is simply too banged up to contend for four full quarters.
Best Bet: Minnesota -10.0
Toral: Under 163.5
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 87, Los Angeles 70
Expect a more methodical pace, especially if LA’s bench gets extended minutes late.
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
