New York (10-3) at Golden State (7-6)
- When: Jun 25 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: WWOR
New York vs. Golden State – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: New York -9.5 | Total: 161.5
New York Liberty Breakdown
New York has hit its first mid-season pothole, dropping three of the last four, yet still sits second in net rating. Sunday’s loss at Seattle was a turnover carnival (21 giveaways) with both Jonquel Jones (ankle) and Sabrina Ionescu (neck) missing. Jones remains shelved for a few more weeks, but Ionescu practiced Tuesday and is trending toward a return. Even shorthanded, the Liberty still lead the W in offensive efficiency and free-throw rate. Expect Sandy Brondello to simplify sets and emphasize ball security after the 22 Seattle points that came off miscues.
Liberty Player Prop Pick:
Breanna Stewart over 7.5 rebounds – With Jones out, Stewart’s board share has jumped; she’s collected 9+ in five of the past seven.
Golden State Valkyries Breakdown
Golden State’s expansion crew keeps punching above its weight at 7-6, thanks to bruising work on the glass (league-best 41.9 REB per game) and opportunistic hands (3rd in steals). In Sunday’s 24-point smack-down of Connecticut, Kayla Thornton racked 21-8 while the Valks bludgeoned the Sun 51-35 on the boards. Offense, though, is still clunky: last in three-point accuracy (27.5%) and 11th overall shooting. To keep pace with New York they’ll need repeat hustle plays, second-chance buckets and to keep turnovers sub-15.
Valkyries Player Prop Pick:
Kayla Thornton over 15.5 points – She’s averaging 18.0 in her last three and draws a Liberty frontcourt missing length without Jones.
Final Score Prediction:
New York swept the May mini-series by 28 and 5. With Ionescu likely back, the Liberty regain secondary playmaking and should slice up Golden State’s weak perimeter D. However, the Valks’ rebounding edge and home crowd suggest a scrap. Liberty win but Golden State covers (+9.5). New York’s efficiency balances out, yet Golden State’s extra possessions and tempo drag keep it tight.
Best Bet: Golden State +9.5
Toral: Over 161.5
Final Score Prediction: Seattle 85, Indiana 78
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
