Toronto (43-37) at Boston (40-42)
- When: Jun 27 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston
- Where to watch: NESN
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Toronto -112 | Total: 8.5
Toronto Blue Jays
The Blue Jays head into Fenway riding some momentum after taking two of three from the Guardians, capped by a dominant 6-0 shutout win on Thursday. Kevin Gausman silenced Cleveland’s bats, and Toronto’s offense did just enough to support him. With a rested bullpen and a lineup that’s shown resilience, the Jays look to keep that edge going in Boston.
Jose Berrios (3-3, 3.51 ERA) gets the ball and has been steady, especially against Boston, owning a 3.60 ERA in 17 career starts versus the Sox. His ability to limit damage early is key, especially with Vladimir Guerrero Jr.’s status still uncertain after taking a pitch off the forearm. Even if Vlad Jr. is limited or absent, Toronto’s supporting bats have proven capable of picking up the slack.
Boston Red Sox
Boston is in free fall, losers of five straight and batting a miserable .188 since moving Rafael Devers. The lineup is producing just 3.11 runs per game over that stretch and managed only two unearned runs in their last outing against the Angels. Strikeouts have plagued them all season, and it reached a boiling point with 33 punchouts in the recent three-game sweep by L.A.
Brayan Bello (3-2, 3.31 ERA) offers hope for a bounce-back, especially with a 2.49 ERA over his last four starts. He’s been consistent in giving Boston at least six innings per outing. That said, his career 5.48 ERA in nine starts against Toronto is a red flag, especially considering how shaky the Red Sox bullpen and defense have been lately, surrendering multiple late-game runs and costly errors.
Prediction & Betting Angle
The Blue Jays are healthier, more balanced, and facing a Boston team struggling to find its identity post-Devers. Both starters have been sharp lately, and with Boston’s offense ice cold, runs could be tough to come by. Toronto extends Boston’s skid behind a composed outing from Berrios and just enough offense to edge it late.
Score Prediction: Blue Jays 4, Red Sox 3
Pick: Toronto ML (-112)
Total: Under 8.5 (-102)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
