New York (11-3) at Phoenix (11-4)
- When: Jun 27 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: ION
New York vs. Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -1.5 | Total: 168.0
Phoenix Mercury Breakdown
Team on Fire — Literally and Figuratively
Winners of five straight, the Phoenix Mercury are suddenly the team no one wants to face. Their latest flex? A 107-86 beatdown over Chicago, blowing past their own season-high in points like it was light work. And don’t forget, they already beat the Liberty in New York last week, forcing 20 turnovers and cashing in 19 points off them. Phoenix has gone from preseason afterthoughts to legit contenders faster than anyone expected.
Sami Whitcomb is heating up off the bench like a microwave burrito, three double-digit scoring games in her last three outings. And Alyssa Thomas? She’s basically a Swiss Army knife with stats: averaging nearly a triple-double since returning from injury. The chemistry is clicking, the defense is swarming, and they’re finally scoring like it’s 2014 again.
Mercury Player Prop:
Alyssa Thomas – Over 8.5 Assists – She’s averaging nearly 10 dimes a game since her return and has taken over as the team’s engine. Expect her to rack up helpers again in a fast-paced matchup.
New York Liberty Breakdown
Reigning Champs, Recent Stumbles
The Liberty looked unbeatable to start the season, roaring out to a 9-0 record. Since then? 2-3, and one of those L’s came at the hands of this surging Mercury team. Breanna Stewart is still doing MVP things, she dropped 23 points and grabbed 10 boards in their recent win over Golden State, but it’s clear this squad is missing some juice.
Sabrina Ionescu is in a serious shooting funk, hitting just 2 of her last 17 threes while battling a neck issue. Jonquel Jones is still sidelined with a bum ankle, and New York’s bench has become a nightly game of “Whose Turn Is It To Step Up?”
Liberty Player Prop:
Breanna Stewart – Over 20.5 Points – With Jones still out and Ionescu ice cold, Stewart’s usage is off the charts. She’ll take 20+ shots whether she’s on or not.
Final Score Prediction:
Phoenix is rolling. New York’s banged up, out of rhythm, and has to play catch-up in hostile territory. With momentum, rest, and confidence all on their side, the Mercury should pull off the sweep of this mini-series.
Best Bet: Phoenix -1.5
Toral: Over 168.0 – These two can score in bunches, and Phoenix is playing with serious pace right now.
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 88, New York 83
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
