Indiana (8-8) at Minnesota (14-2)
- When: Jul 1 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis
- TV: Amazon Prime
Indiana vs. Minnesota – Commissioner’s Cup Final Preview, Prediction and Props
Spread: Phoenix -6.0 | Total: 164.5
A $500,000 prize, bragging rights, and Commissioner’s Cup glory are on the line Tuesday night in Minneapolis. The Fever are battling injuries, while the Lynx look to cement their status as the league’s most complete team. Will Caitlin Clark return in time to make a difference?
Indiana Fever: Battling Through the Bumps
The Fever (8-8) enter their biggest stage yet, but question marks surround star rookie Caitlin Clark. Nursing a groin issue, her status is “day-to-day,” but her presence alone alters defensive schemes and momentum. Even without her at full strength, Kelsey Mitchell (18.9 PPG) continues to deliver offensively, and the team has developed grit through early adversity.
Player Prop to Watch – Kelsey Mitchell Over 18.5 Points:
With Clark questionable, expect Mitchell to shoulder the scoring load against an elite defense.
Minnesota Lynx: Hunting Back-to-Back Cups
Minnesota (14-2) is the betting favorite and for good reason. Napheesa Collier is in MVP form, averaging 24.4 points and 8.5 boards per contest. She’s now healthy after a minor back issue and will be the engine again Tuesday. The Lynx also bring proven depth with Kayla McBride and Courtney Williams helping stretch the floor and command tempo.
Player Prop to Watch – Napheesa Collier Over 22.5 Points:
On a big stage with a championship at stake, expect Collier to deliver another statement game.
Prediction:
Even if Clark suits up, the Lynx are simply deeper, more balanced, and in better form. Minnesota thrives in high-pressure situations and already knows what it takes to win this game. Expect Collier to dominate and Minnesota to pull away late.
Best Bet: Minnesota -6.0
Toral: Over 164.5 – Hits with late-game free throws and open-court play
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 88, Indiana 78
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
