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Atlanta (13-10) at Phoenix (15-7)
- When: Jul 23 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: CBS Sports Network
Atlanta vs. Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -7.5 | Total: 163.5
Phoenix Mercury Outlook
The Mercury (15-7) are back in action, riding high in the Western Conference despite a recent stumble against Minnesota. With stars like Alyssa Thomas and Satou Sabally leading the way, Phoenix is pushing to secure a top playoff seed. Thomas’ league-leading 9.5 assists per game and Sabally’s versatile scoring have made this team a dangerous betting favorite.
The addition of DeWanna Bonner has only bolstered Phoenix’s offense, as she posted 22 points and 11 rebounds in her second game back. If Sabally and Kahleah Copper both return to full form, the Mercury’s scoring depth should give them a significant edge over Atlanta.
Player Prop to Watch: Alyssa Thomas – Over 7.5 assists (her playmaking is the engine of Phoenix’s offense).
Atlanta Dream Outlook
The Dream (13-10) enter this game on tired legs after an 87-72 defeat against the Las Vegas Aces. Allisha Gray continues to lead the scoring charge with 18.6 points per game, but the absence of Rhyne Howard (knee injury) is a major blow to Atlanta’s perimeter offense.
Brittney Griner, in her return to Phoenix, adds a storyline twist. While no longer the dominant force of her Mercury days, Griner remains effective in the paint with 10.2 points and 5.7 rebounds per contest. Atlanta will need her interior presence to compete against Phoenix’s frontcourt duo.
Player Prop to Watch: Allisha Gray – Over 2.5 made threes (she’s Atlanta’s most reliable outside shooter).
Prediction & Betting Outlook
Expect the Mercury to use their home-court advantage and fast-paced attack to pull away late. Expect a gritty effort, but the Dream could struggle to match Phoenix’s offensive firepower without Howard. Phoenix’s depth and offensive efficiency make them a strong favorite to cover the spread in this matchup.
Best Bet: Phoenix -7.5
Toral: Over 163.5
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 87, Atlanta 78
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
