- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Las Vegas (12-12) at Minnesota (21-4)
- When: Jul 25 2025, 7:30 PM
- Where: Target Center, Minneapolis, MN, USA
- TV: ION
Las Vegas vs. Minnesota – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -9.5 | Total: 161.0
Minnesota Lynx Outlook
The Lynx (21-4) are playing like a well-oiled machine, and Napheesa Collier is the engine. Collier, who is firmly in the MVP conversation, continues to dominate on both ends of the floor. She filled up the stat sheet with 19 points, eight rebounds, four assists, and four blocks in Tuesday’s 91-68 blowout over Chicago.
Minnesota’s numbers scream “title favorite.” They lead the league in field goal percentage, assists, and blocked shots, while also boasting the best scoring margin at +10.2 points per game. Adding to their confidence, they are undefeated at home this season with a perfect 13-0 record.
Courtney Williams praised Collier’s superstar presence and humility, a rare combination fueling Minnesota’s dominance. With Collier averaging 23 points per game on 51.7% shooting, the Lynx’s offense is nearly unstoppable, especially at home.
Player Prop Pick Minnesota: Napheesa Collier Over 20.5 Points – Collier has been torching defenses, and the Aces’ interior defense hasn’t looked sharp enough to slow her down.
Las Vegas Aces Outlook
The Aces (12-12) enter this game on the wrong end of momentum, coming off an 80-70 loss to Indiana on Thursday. They blew an eight-point lead in the third quarter, a trend that has exposed their depth issues all season. While A’ja Wilson (22.4 PPG) continues to put up MVP-caliber numbers, Las Vegas isn’t getting much help from its bench.
Jackie Young (19 points vs. Indiana) provides strong backcourt scoring, but the reserves combined for just four points over 53 minutes in Thursday’s loss. Backup guard Dana Evans, who had 14 points in a previous win over Atlanta, was held scoreless in 14 minutes against Indiana. The inconsistency off the bench has forced the Aces to rely heavily on Wilson and Young for offensive production.
Las Vegas will be motivated to avenge their 76-62 loss to Minnesota back in June, but the quick turnaround and tough road environment make this an uphill battle.
Player Prop Pick Las Vegas: A’ja Wilson Over 21.5 Points – Wilson has been a scoring machine, and the Aces will lean on her to keep this game close.
Prediction & Betting Outlook
The Aces are dangerous when Wilson is locked in, but Minnesota’s depth, chemistry, and perfect home record make them tough to fade. Expect Collier and company to dominate the paint and pull away late.
Best Bet: Minnesota -9.5
Toral: Under 161.0
Final Score Prediction: Minnesota 85, Las Vegas 73
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
