- This page contains affiliate links. We may earn a commission at no extra cost to you.
Seattle (15-11) at Connecticut (4-20)
- When: Jul 28 2025, 7:00 PM
- Where: Mohegan Sun Arena, Uncasville, CT, USA
- TV: NBCS-BOS
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sun
Spread: Seattle -12.0 | Total: 157.5
Seattle Storm Breakdown
Seattle (15-11) is still firmly in the playoff mix, but their post-All-Star break performance has been uneven, dropping two of their last three games. The offense hit a wall in Saturday’s 69-58 loss to Washington, where the Storm shot just 32.8% from the field and a dreadful 23.8% from beyond the arc.
Nneka Ogwumike led Seattle with 18 points, but the lack of scoring depth continues to hurt them — only Erica Wheeler (12 points) joined her in double figures. Coach Noelle Quinn emphasized the need for sharper execution, especially in half-court sets, after the team failed to capitalize on a late rally in Washington.
Seattle still holds a 2-1 edge in the season series against Connecticut, but they will need a complete offensive performance to cover an 12-point spread on the road.
Connecticut Sun Breakdown
Connecticut (4-20) has endured a tough season, but they flashed unexpected offensive firepower with a 95-64 blowout win over Golden State on Sunday. The Sun shot a season-high 53.0% from the field and drained 12 three-pointers, both major improvements for a team that typically struggles to score.
Tina Charles was dominant, pouring in 24 points on 8-for-11 shooting, while Marina Mabrey and Bria Hartley added 15 each. Jacy Sheldon came off the bench with 13 points to cap a balanced attack that looked nothing like a four-win team. Coach Rachid Meziane credited defensive pressure and transition play for the offensive surge, noting it was their most complete performance of the year.
While Connecticut has little left to play for, they may relish the underdog role in their regular-season finale against Seattle.
WNBA Game Prediction
Seattle’s talent and playoff positioning give them the upper hand, but Connecticut’s hot shooting against Golden State hints at a possible cover if the Storm’s offense sputters again. Expect Seattle to win, but not without resistance.
Score Prediction: Seattle 84, Connecticut 75
Best Bet: Connecticut +12.0
Total: Over 157.5
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
