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Mariners Pitch Like Clowns, Padres Hope for Circus Win

Mariners favored vs Padres. Get odds, preview, and expert score prediction for Monday’s matchup.

(Photo by Getty Images) Bryce Miller
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San Diego (74-57) at Seattle (70-61)

  • When: Aug 25 2025, 9:40 PM
  • Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
  • Where to watch: SDPA

Padres vs Mariners: A Clash of Power Bats and Shaky Arms Tonight

MoneylineSeattle (-133)
RunlineSeattle -1.5 (+162)
Total: 8.0

Seattle Mariners: Dinger Factory Meets ERA Dumpster Fire

The Seattle Mariners are moneyline favorites (-133) and will try to prove that playing at home actually means something. At 70-61 overall and 39-26 in Seattle, they’ve launched 186 home runs, which is second-best in the American League. Translation: these guys swing for the fences like kids in a Little League game trying to impress grandma.

But there’s a catch, their pitching staff has been more “oops” than “oopsie-daisy.” In their last 10 games, the Mariners went 3-7 with a ghastly 6.14 ERA. That’s less pitching and more charity work. Bryce Miller (2-5, 5.87 ERA) gets the ball tonight, and Mariners fans everywhere are hoping he remembers he’s allowed to throw strikes. If he keeps the ball in the park, Seattle might just justify being the favorite.

San Diego Padres: Road Warriors… Sort Of

The Padres come in at 74-57, clinging to second in the NL West. But on the road? They’re just 31-35, which is basically the baseball version of forgetting how to walk once you leave your own driveway. Still, when they out-hit opponents, they’re 56-16, so, yes, the secret game plan is “get more hits than the other guys.” Revolutionary.

JP Sears (8-10, 4.94 ERA) will be on the mound, and while his ERA screams “I give up runs,” his WHIP is at least reasonable. Padres fans are crossing fingers, toes, and maybe a churro or two that he brings his A-game because Manny Machado (21 HR, .480 slugging) can’t carry the entire franchise every night.

Comedy Corner Matchup

Seattle just lost seven of their last ten, but somehow they’re the betting favorite. The Padres are 5-5 in the same stretch, which is basically the definition of “meh.” This feels less like a clash of contenders and more like two slightly hungover teams deciding who wants the win slightly more.

Prediction

Both lineups have power, both bullpens are sketchy, and both starters make gamblers sweat like they just doubled down on blackjack. The difference? Seattle’s home bats should tip the scales.

Final Score Prediction:  Mariners 6, Padres 4
Bets Bet: Seattle (-133) 
Total:  Over 8.0 (-116) 

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