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Atlanta (61-72) at Philadelphia (76-57)
- When: Aug 28 2025, 4:45 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: NBCS-PH
Braves vs Phillies – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Philadelphia -196
Total: 9.5
RunLine: Philadelphia -1.5 (-103)
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Outlook
The Phillies return home as -196 moneyline favorites with the total set at 9.5 runs after a disastrous sweep at the hands of the Mets. Outscored 25-8 in the series, Philadelphia saw its NL East lead trimmed to just four games. With Zack Wheeler sidelined for the season, the pressure now falls squarely on Aaron Nola (2-7, 6.52 ERA) to stabilize the rotation.
Nola has endured his toughest season yet, missing significant time with ankle and rib injuries. Since returning, he’s delivered mixed results, crushed by Washington in his first outing back but steadier in his second start against the same team. Historically, Nola has fared well against Atlanta (16-11, 3.59 ERA in 37 career starts), and the Phillies need that version to show up.
Player Prop to Watch (Phillies): Aaron Nola Over 5.5 Strikeouts – Atlanta’s aggressive lineup gives him chances to rack up Ks if he’s sharp.
Atlanta Braves Betting Outlook
The Braves come in riding offensive momentum, having plated 23 runs in their last two games, capped by a 12-1 rout of Miami. Ozzie Albies is red-hot, with three homers, nine RBIs, and two doubles in just two games. Michael Harris II and Jurickson Profar also joined the power surge, reminding everyone that Atlanta can pile it on quickly.
On the mound, the Braves hand the ball to Cal Quantrill (4-11, 5.11 ERA), who’s still adjusting after being picked up off waivers. He was shaky in his debut against the Mets, issuing five walks, but managed to limit damage to three runs over 4 2/3 innings. His track record against Philadelphia, however, is ugly: 0-1 with a 12.27 ERA this year, and a 5.55 career ERA in five starts.
Player Prop to Watch (Braves): Ozzie Albies Over 1.5 Total Bases – He’s in one of those streaks where everything looks hittable.
MLB Prediction & Betting Angle
This matchup feels like a reset opportunity for Philadelphia. Nola’s inconsistencies are concerning, but Atlanta’s shaky starter and road spot tilt things toward the Phillies. Expect some offense on both sides, but Philly’s urgency and home-field advantage should carry the day.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 6, Braves 4
Lean: Philadelphia -1.5 (-103)
Total: Over 9.5 (-112)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
