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Indiana (21-19) at Phoenix (25-14)
- When: Sep 2 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: PHX Arena, Phoenix, AZ, USA
- TV: NBA TV
Indiana vs Phoenix – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Phoenix -7.0 | Total: 166.5
Indiana Fever Betting Outlook
The Fever (21-19) limp into Phoenix hanging onto the final playoff spot after falling to Golden State 75-63 on Sunday. Without Caitlin Clark, who may miss her 19th straight game due to a groin injury, Indiana’s offense has lacked rhythm and consistency. Clark has played in only 13 of 40 games this season, a staggering loss for a team built around her star power.
Aerial Powers tried to provide a spark last outing with 17 points off the bench, but injuries continue to pile up. Sophie Cunningham, Aari McDonald, and Sydney Colson are all sidelined, leaving the Fever extremely thin as they close out a three-game road swing.
Bettors should note that Indiana’s defense has been serviceable, but without Clark and other contributors, their scoring ceiling has dropped dramatically. They’ve now fallen from sixth to eighth in the standings, and they’re vulnerable against a hot Mercury team.
Fever Player Prop Pick: Aerial Powers Over 11.5 points – she’s taken on more offensive responsibility and should continue to get looks.
Phoenix Mercury Betting Outlook
The Mercury (25-14) have clinched their postseason spot, but they’re chasing top-four positioning to lock in home-court advantage. Phoenix has rattled off four straight wins, the latest being an 80-63 victory over the Liberty, showing balance across the roster.
Satou Sabally (16.6 PPG) and Kahleah Copper (16.3 PPG) drive the offense, while Alyssa Thomas continues her do-it-all role, leading the WNBA in assists (9.2 per game) while nearly averaging a double-double. Coach Nate Tibbetts praised Natasha Mack’s impact on the boards against New York, noting her hustle plays have been crucial during this streak.
Phoenix also holds the betting edge as a 7.0-point favorite with the total set at 166.5. Given their momentum and Indiana’s depleted roster, the Mercury look poised to cover against a shorthanded opponent.
Mercury Player Prop Pick: Satou Sabally Over 16.5 points – in playoff push mode, she’s been the most reliable scorer.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Phoenix is rolling, while Indiana is limping toward the finish line. With Clark and multiple others out, the Fever simply lack enough firepower to hang with a Mercury squad playing their best basketball of the season.
Best Bet: Phoenix -7.0
Toral: Under 166.5
Final Score Prediction: Phoenix 85, Indiana 73
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
