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Alvarez Hits Everything, Yankees Pitchers File Complaints Fast

Yankees face Astros in Houston with odds, preview and expert betting prediction.

(Photo by Getty Images) Yordan Alvarez
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NY Yankees (77-62) at Houston (77-63)

  • When: Sep 4 2025, 7:40 PM
  • Where: Daikin Park, Houston
  • Where to watch: SCHN

Astros Star Keeps Swinging while Bullpen Searches for Answers

MoneylineNY Yankees (-141)
RunlineNY Yankees -1.5 (+115)
Total: 8.5

New York Yankees: Riding the Judge Express

The Yankees (77-62) arrive in Houston like a guy who’s feeling good after hitting a hot streak at the blackjack table. They’ve gone 8-2 in their last 10 games, outscoring opponents by 43 runs, which means they’ve been dishing out whoopings instead of sweating coin-flip endings.

Aaron Judge is once again playing the role of superhero, hitting .323 with 43 homers, 97 RBIs, and 97 walks. If baseball had capes, Judge would be flying around Yankee Stadium. Cody Bellinger has joined the party too, smashing three homers in his last 10 games and looking like he’s enjoying the ride.

Carlos Rodón, the Yankees’ starter, is having himself a season worth bragging about at the bar. He’s 15-7 with a 3.18 ERA, striking out 177 hitters and showing he can handle the heat. For a team that has been criticized for inconsistency, Rodón gives them a steady anchor heading into a hostile road environment.

Houston Astros: Searching for Answers (and Maybe a Fifth Run)

The Astros (77-63) still lead the AL West, but lately they’ve been about as consistent as a slot machine on tilt. They’ve gone 5-5 over their last 10 games, batting just .241 while being outscored by five runs. That’s not exactly championship form.

Still, Yordan Alvarez gave Yankees pitching nightmares on Wednesday with four hits, proving he can turn a game into a personal highlight reel. Jose Altuve keeps grinding, posting 24 homers and 69 RBIs, while Jesus Sanchez has been a sneaky contributor with a hot bat recently.

Cristian Javier gets the ball for Houston, and while his numbers (1-1, 3.38 ERA) look sharp, the reality is he’s still trying to reestablish himself after injuries. For Houston to hang around, Javier has to pitch more like his dominant playoff self and less like the guy who sometimes loses command at the worst possible moment.

Prediction & Betting Angle

The Yankees are rolling, their offense is humming, and Rodón is dealing. The Astros, on the other hand, feel like they’re trying to win games with duct tape and vibes. Yes, Alvarez and Altuve can deliver, but New York’s recent form screams momentum.

Oddsmakers at MyBookie have the Yankees favored at -141 on the moneyline, with the total set at 8.5 runs. Given both clubs’ power bats and Rodón’s edge on the mound, this one looks like it tilts toward the Bronx Bombers.

Final Score Prediction:  Yankees 4, Astros 3
Bets Bet: NY Yankees (-141) 
Total:  Under 8.5 (-111) – two solid arms and pressure-packed innings should keep this from turning into a slugfest.

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