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Minnesota (32-8) at Las Vegas (26-14)
- When: Sep 4 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: T-Mobile Arena, Las Vegas, NV, USA
- TV: FDSN
Minnesota vs Las Vegas – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Minnesota -2.5 | Total: 164.5
Minnesota Lynx Betting Outlook
The Lynx (32-8) enter Thursday’s clash as the betting favorite (-2.5 spread, total 164.5) with the best record in the WNBA already secured. Still, they’ve shown no interest in coasting, delivering back-to-back blowout wins over Connecticut and Dallas. In their latest victory, Courtney Williams and Natisha Hiedeman both dished nine assists while scoring 15+ points each an ultra-rare double-double feat for teammates.
Minnesota has dominated this matchup, winning all three meetings this year, including an 111-58 demolition on Aug. 2 when Kayla McBride caught fire with 24 points. Forward Napheesa Collier continues to pace the league in scoring at 23.5 points per game, barely edging out A’ja Wilson, and will again be the centerpiece of Minnesota’s offense.
Health is a minor concern, as guard DiJonai Carrington is dealing with a nagging shoulder, but the Lynx remain deep, balanced, and dangerous.
Lynx Player Prop Pick: Napheesa Collier Over 21.5 points – her scoring consistency and history against Las Vegas make her the safest bet on Minnesota.
Las Vegas Aces Betting Outlook
The Aces (26-14) may not own the top record, but they’re the hottest team in the league. After dropping three of five earlier this summer, they’ve responded with a 12-game winning streak, matching the franchise record. They’ve won three of their last six games by double digits and just swept a three-game road trip before a week-long rest.
The centerpiece of their surge has been A’ja Wilson, who’s averaging 23.4 points per game and has scored 30+ in six of her last nine contests. Not only is she filling up the scoreboard, she’s also dominating the glass, leading the team in rebounds throughout this win streak.
Becky Hammon’s group has found another gear defensively, forcing turnovers and smothering opponents in crunch time. With playoff seeding still up for grabs, the Aces will treat this matchup with urgency, looking to finally get past the Lynx this season.
Aces Player Prop Pick: A’ja Wilson Over 9.5 rebounds – she’s been unstoppable on the glass and should continue her dominance inside.
WNBA Prediction & Betting Angle
This is a true heavyweight battle between the league’s best team and its hottest team. Minnesota has had Las Vegas’ number this year, but the Aces are rolling, rested, and motivated to end that skid. Expect a playoff-like atmosphere with star power everywhere.
Best Bet: Las Vegas (+115)
Toral: Over 164.5
Final Score Prediction: Las Vegas 87, Minnesota 84
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
