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Boston (86-71) at Toronto (90-67)
- When: Sep 24 2025, 7:07 PM
- Where: Rogers Centre, Toronto
- Where to watch: NESN
Red Sox vs Blue Jays – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Boston -137
Total: 7.5
RunLine: Boston -1.5 (+133)
Boston Red Sox Betting Outlook
The Red Sox tightened the AL East race with Tuesday’s 4-1 win, cutting Toronto’s division lead while boosting their own wild-card hopes. At 86–71, Boston holds the second AL wild-card slot, but with Detroit and Houston breathing down their necks, every game is playoff-level urgency.
Garrett Crochet (17-5, 2.69 ERA) gets the start, and his dominance against Toronto is well-documented. In five career appearances against the Jays, he’s posted a sparkling 1.31 ERA. Earlier this season, he held them to two runs across two starts. Boston shuffled its rotation specifically to line him up here, underscoring how much weight this matchup carries.
Carlos Narvaez and Nathaniel Lowe sparked Tuesday’s offense with two RBIs each, while the Red Sox continue to rely on their balanced lineup to keep pressure on opposing pitchers. Crochet’s ability to set the tone early is Boston’s best path to another crucial win.
Red Sox Player Prop Pick: Garrett Crochet Over 6.5 Strikeouts – he’s been dominant all season and has historically handled Toronto’s lineup with ease, making punchouts his clearest path to control this game.
Toronto Blue Jays Betting Outlook
Toronto has stumbled badly at the worst possible time, dropping five of its last six games. A once-comfortable five-game division lead has dwindled to just one over the Yankees, though they still control the tiebreaker with an 8-5 season series edge.
Max Scherzer (5-4, 5.06 ERA) will look to steady the ship. The veteran hasn’t faced Boston since 2023 and has struggled historically, with a 5.67 ERA in 13 career starts against the Sox. Still, his postseason pedigree and ability to rise in big moments make him a stabilizing force for the Jays in this must-win scenario.
Toronto also welcomed back Anthony Santander from the injured list. Though he didn’t play Tuesday, he adds another bat to a lineup that has struggled to produce runs consistently in recent weeks. George Springer and Vladimir Guerrero Jr. need to step up to avoid watching their division slip away.
Blue Jays Player Prop Pick: Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Over 0.5 RBI – he’s Toronto’s best bet for driving in runs in a high-pressure spot.
MLB Expert Betting Prediction
Boston sits as -137 moneyline favorites with the total at 7.5. This matchup screams pitcher’s duel with Crochet’s dominance against Toronto and Scherzer’s experience on the big stage. Boston, however, enters with the stronger form and more reliable starter.
Expect Boston to edge out another tight game behind Crochet, keeping their wild-card cushion while tightening the AL East race even further.
Final Score Prediction: Red Sox 4, Blue Jays 2
Lean: Boston (-137)
Total: Under 7.5 (-118)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
