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Detroit (2-2) at Seattle (2-2)
- When: Oct 10 2025, 8:08 PM
- Where: T-Mobile Park, Seattle
- Where to watch: FOX
Detroit vs Seattle MLB Playoff Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Detroit -139
Spread: Detroit -1.5 (+151)
Total: 5.5
Detroit Tigers – Skubal Back on the Hill for Redemption
The Detroit Tigers live to fight another day, thanks to a huge rally in Game 4 that sent the series back to Seattle for a do-or-die showdown. Now it’s up to ace Tarik Skubal to finish the job.
Skubal has looked sharp this postseason, even if the results against the Mariners haven’t favored him. In Game 2, he allowed just two runs on solo homers over seven innings, striking out nine. Despite the loss, his command and poise were undeniable. The reigning AL Cy Young winner enters this elimination matchup with a quiet confidence and a short memory, ready to rewrite last year’s playoff disappointment.
Offensively, Detroit’s power finally came alive in Game 4, with Riley Greene and Javier Baez each going deep in a momentum-swinging sixth inning. Gleyber Torres added insurance with a solo shot of his own.
Expect the Tigers to stick to the aggressive formula that saved their season: grinding at-bats, timely power, and forcing Seattle’s bullpen into long innings. If Skubal keeps the ball in the park, Detroit has the edge to move on.
Player Prop to Watch: Riley Greene – Over 1.5 total bases – Greene’s swing looks locked in after his Game 4 blast, and he’s seeing the ball well against right-handers. He’s the spark Detroit needs early.
Seattle Mariners – Kirby Looks to Silence the Rally
Seattle’s postseason dreams now hinge on George Kirby, who gets the ball in the biggest start of his young career. Kirby was sharp in Game 1, striking out eight across five innings while surrendering just two runs. He’s handled pressure before, remember his seven scoreless frames in an 18-inning duel vs Houston two years ago and he’s built for this kind of moment.
Still, the Mariners’ bullpen must bounce back after imploding in Game 4, allowing seven runs in less than four innings. Seattle will lean heavily on its home crowd and early offense to ease the load. Cal Raleigh and Jorge Polanco, both swinging hot bats, will be crucial to keeping Detroit from finding an early groove.
If Kirby can go deep and limit damage from Detroit’s middle order, Seattle has a real shot at reclaiming momentum and advancing to the ALCS for the first time in over two decades.
Player Prop to Watch: Jorge Polanco – To Hit a Home Run – Polanco has taken Skubal deep twice already this series. If there’s a Tiger slayer in this lineup, it’s him.
Final Betting Take
Game 5 has all the makings of a classic pitcher’s duel. Skubal’s dominance meets Kirby’s calm under pressure, but Detroit’s deeper lineup and late-game power surge tip the balance. The under looks appealing in what should be a tense, low-scoring battle at T-Mobile Park.
Score Prediction: Tigers 4, Mariners 2
Pick: Detroit -1.5 (+151)
Total: Over 5.5 (-122)
- MLB Playoff Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
