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Arizona (6-6) at NY Mets (7-5)
- When: Apr 9 2026, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- TV: ARID
Arizona vs NY Mets MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: NY Mets -169
Runline: NY Mets -1.5 (+127)
Total: 7.0
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Breakdown
Arizona finally woke up at the plate, and it could not have come at a better time. After a stretch where runs were hard to find, they broke through with seven runs, led by Corbin Carroll and Jorge Barrosa driving in key hits. That kind of production is exactly what this lineup needed heading into a tougher pitching matchup.
Eduardo Rodriguez has been sharp early, holding a 0.00 ERA through his first outings, but the deeper numbers suggest regression could be coming. His history against New York is mixed, with a 6.23 ERA across four starts, and now he faces a lineup that has shown it can string together runs quickly.
Arizona’s pitching has carried them, but if the bats stay active, they can absolutely compete in this spot.
Diamondbacks Player Prop Pick: Eduardo Rodriguez Over 2.5 Earned Runs (+110) – Given matchup history and recent Mets offensive form, this number has value.
New York Mets Betting Breakdown
New York had its winning streak snapped, but there is little reason for concern. This team has been producing offensively and has shown strong balance across the rotation.
Nolan McLean continues to impress, coming off a solid outing with one earned run allowed over 5 1/3 innings. The Mets’ rotation outside of David Peterson has been reliable, posting a 3.08 ERA across recent starts, which gives them a clear edge here.
The lineup has already proven it can generate runs in bunches, and returning home in a series-deciding game sets up well for a bounce-back performance.
From a betting standpoint, the Mets offer both consistency on the mound and upside at the plate.
Mets Player Prop Pick: Nolan McLean Over 5.5 Strikeouts (-118) – With his current form and Arizona’s swing tendencies, this is a strong spot.
MLB Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
New York sits as a –169 favorite and -1.5 (+127) on the runline with a total of 7.0, signaling a controlled game where pitching will play a major role.
Arizona showed life offensively, but sustaining that against a more stable Mets rotation is a different challenge. McLean gives New York the edge, while Rodriguez is likely to face pressure early.
Expect the Mets to regain control and close out the series at home.
Final Score: Mets 5 Diamondbacks 3
Lean: NY Mets -1.5 (+127)
Total: Over 7.0 (-115)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
