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Minnesota (12-12) at NY Mets (8-16)
- When: Apr 23 2026, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- TV: SNY
Minnesota vs NY Mets MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Minnesota -114
Runline: Minnesota -1.5 (+148)
Total: 7.5
New York Mets Betting Breakdown
New York finally stopped the bleeding, but it did not come without another concern. The lineup is already adjusting after losing Juan Soto for a stretch, and now all eyes are on Francisco Lindor, who exited with calf tightness. If he is limited or unavailable, this offense loses its rhythm and leadership in one blow.
The win itself showed resilience. Mark Vientos delivered in a key moment, and the bullpen held firm late. Still, consistency has been an issue, especially during the recent losing skid.
On the mound, Christian Scott makes his return after a long recovery. The numbers at Triple-A were not dominant, but the strikeout rate was encouraging with 17 punchouts in just over 13 innings. This matchup could suit him, especially against a Minnesota lineup that has shown patience but can be put away with quality stuff.
The key for New York is balance. They must generate enough offense early while allowing Scott to settle into the game without pressure. If they fall behind, the lack of depth could become a problem.
Mets Prop Pick: Christian Scott over 4.5 strikeouts – His ability to miss bats gives him a strong chance to clear this number, especially early in the game.
Minnesota Twins Betting Breakdown
Minnesota enters this matchup in a difficult stretch, dropping five of their last six. The issue has not been one specific area, but rather a combination of bullpen struggles and missed opportunities late in games.
Joe Ryan has been steady overall with a 3.29 ERA, but he is not overpowering hitters. He relies on command and efficiency rather than strikeout volume. That becomes important in a game where limiting damage matters more than chasing strikeouts.
The bullpen has been the real concern. Free passes have cost them, and in tight games, that is the quickest way to give away runs. If that continues, it will be difficult to close out games even with a solid starting effort.
Offensively, Minnesota has the ability to produce, but they need cleaner at-bats and fewer missed chances with runners on base. Against a pitcher making his return, patience and pressure could create scoring opportunities.
Twins Prop Pick: Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts – His pitching style does not typically generate high strikeout totals, making the under the more reliable angle.
MLB Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
This is a tightly priced matchup with Minnesota slightly favored at -114, and rightly so given their more stable starting pitching. However, the situational angle leans toward New York finding momentum after finally snapping their losing streak.
The total at 7.5 suggests a moderately low-scoring game, and that feels accurate given the pitching profiles. Both starters can limit damage, but bullpen volatility could create late scoring chances.
There is value in backing the underdog here. New York has shown signs of life, and if Scott delivers a solid outing, they can keep this close and capitalize late.
Final Score: Mets 4, Twins 3
Lean: NY Mets ML (-104)
Total: Under 7.5 (-112)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
