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Mercury vs Wings Expert Picks and Prediction

Dallas hosts Phoenix in key Commissioner’s Cup action.

(Photo by Getty Images) Paige Bueckers
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Phoenix (4-9) at Dallas (7-4)

  • When: Jun 11 2026, 9:00 PM
  • Where: College Park Center, Arlington, TX, USA
  • TV: Amazon Prime Video

Phoenix vs Dallas Preview & Prediction

Spread: Dallas -7.0
Moneyline: Dallas (-275)
Total: 168.5

Phoenix Mercury Betting Preview

The Mercury arrive in Texas looking to rebound after a tough 87-81 loss to Golden State. While the final result was disappointing, Phoenix showed plenty of fight after erasing most of a 17-point halftime deficit and nearly stealing the game late.

Alyssa Thomas was outstanding once again, finishing with 22 points, eight rebounds, and nine assists while taking over the second half. Kahleah Copper remains the team’s primary scoring threat, averaging 17.4 points per game despite being limited to just nine points in her most recent outing.

Phoenix has struggled to string together consistent performances this season, but its veteran core continues to compete. The challenge Thursday will be slowing a Dallas offense that typically responds well after disappointing losses.

Player Prop Pick: Kahleah Copper Over 17.5 Points
Copper rarely delivers back-to-back quiet performances. After a difficult shooting night, she is positioned for a bounce-back scoring effort against Dallas.

Dallas Wings Betting Preview

Dallas returns home motivated after seeing its four-game winning streak snapped by Minnesota in a lopsided defeat. The Wings were never able to recover after falling behind early, but this young group has shown resilience throughout the season.

Paige Bueckers continues to lead the offense, averaging 18.7 points per game while scoring 23 points against the Lynx. Her ability to control the tempo and create offense remains one of Dallas’ biggest advantages.

Arike Ogunbowale is contributing 14.9 points and 6 assists per game, while Jessica Shepard continues to dominate the glass with 13.4 points and 11.2 rebounds per contest. Rookie Azzi Fudd has also provided valuable scoring depth despite a rough shooting performance on Tuesday.

Dallas has been one of the league’s stronger home teams and enters this matchup with the superior record, deeper rotation, and additional motivation after its worst loss in weeks.

Player Prop Pick: Paige Bueckers Over 18.5 Points
Bueckers remains the focal point of the Wings offense and should see another heavy workload in a favorable home matchup.

WNBA Final Score & Expert Prediction

Both teams are looking to respond after losses, but Dallas appears better positioned to bounce back. The Wings have been more consistent offensively and possess multiple scoring options capable of taking over the game.

Phoenix’s competitiveness should keep things close early, but Dallas’ depth and home-court advantage become the difference as the game progresses.

Dallas gets back on track behind another strong performance from Paige Bueckers and strengthens its position in the Commissioner’s Cup race.

Final Score: Wings 90, Mercury 80
Lean: Dallas Wings -7.0
Total: 
Over 168.5 

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