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Atlanta (52-37) at Pittsburgh (46-45)
- When: Jul 7 2026, 6:40 PM
- Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
- TV: Sportsnet PT
Atlanta vs Pittsburgh MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Pittsburgh -177
Runline: Pittsburgh -1.5 (+115)
Total: 8.0
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
Atlanta enters this series as a +150 underdog, but there is value backing the Braves to pull off the upset against Pittsburgh. While recent results have been inconsistent, the Braves have been competitive in close games and could capitalize on Paul Skenes’ recent struggles. Atlanta has dropped to 7-16 since June 9, yet the offense is capable of breaking through against a pitcher who has not won a start since May 12.
Hurston Waldrep takes the ball after returning from arm surgery earlier this season. The young right-hander owns a 3.68 ERA and showed encouraging signs by working 5 1/3 innings with four strikeouts in his latest outing. His velocity continues to climb as he regains strength, giving Atlanta reason for optimism.
Braves Player Prop Pick: Hurston Waldrep Under 4.5 Strikeouts – Waldrep is still building pitch count after returning from injury, making it difficult to project enough innings to clear five strikeouts against Pittsburgh.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Pittsburgh is favored at -177 after winning two of three games in Washington, but there are warning signs. Paul Skenes remains one of baseball’s elite arms, yet the Pirates have surprisingly lost each of his last nine starts. Since opening the year 6-2 with a brilliant 1.98 ERA, Skenes has gone 0-6 with a 5.36 ERA over his past nine outings, including seven earned runs allowed in his most recent start.
The Pirates’ lineup has produced lately, but Atlanta’s veteran hitters have the patience to elevate Skenes’ pitch count and prevent him from working deep into the game.
Pirates Player Prop Pick: Paul Skenes Under 17.5 Total Pitcher Outs – Skenes has struggled to pitch deep into recent starts, making the under appealing if Atlanta forces long at-bats and elevates his pitch count early.
MLB Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
This matchup feels closer than the odds suggest. Atlanta’s lineup has the experience to pressure Skenes early, while Waldrep continues to improve with every outing. At plus money, the Braves offer the stronger betting value.
Final Score: Braves 5, Pirates 4
Lean: Atlanta Braves ML (+150)
Total: Over 8.0 (-106)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
