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Houston (46-50) at Texas (48-46)
- When: Jul 12 2026, 2:35 PM
- Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington
- TV: RSN
Houston vs Texas MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: Texas -132
Runline: Texas -1.5 (+158)
Total: 8.5
The Texas Rangers enter Sunday’s AL West showdown as -132 moneyline favorites, while the Astros look to steal the series after Saturday’s convincing 9-3 victory. Texas is listed at -1.5 (+158), Houston gets plus +112 money on the moneyline, and the total sits at 8.5.
Houston Astros Betting Preview
Houston’s offense came alive behind another monster performance from Yordan Alvarez, who continues to dominate in Arlington. Alvarez launched his seventh home run in six games at Globe Life Field this season and now owns 19 career homers in 36 road games against Texas. LaMonte Wade Jr. also delivered the biggest swing of Saturday’s game with the first grand slam of his career.
Cristian Javier (0-1, 10.22 ERA) makes just his fourth start of the season after returning from the injured list. While his 2026 numbers have been rough, Javier has historically enjoyed success against Texas, posting a 7-1 record with a 3.66 ERA in 16 career appearances.
Astros Player Prop Pick: Cristian Javier Over 3.5 Strikeouts – Javier’s swing-and-miss arsenal gives him upside if he settles into an early rhythm, making his strikeout prop worth backing.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
Texas hands the ball to MacKenzie Gore (5-8, 4.72 ERA), who steps in on short rest after Jacob deGrom was scratched. Gore struggled in his last outing, allowing seven runs over five innings, and has posted a 5.90 ERA across his last seven starts.
The Rangers still possess enough offensive firepower to answer back, but they’ll need a much sharper effort from Gore against a Houston lineup that has already won six of the first nine meetings this season.
Rangers Player Prop Pick: MacKenzie Gore Over 4.5 Strikeouts – Despite recent struggles, Gore continues to miss bats consistently. If he limits the damage early, he has the ability to clear his strikeout total.
MLB Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
Houston enters with momentum after another explosive offensive display, but Texas remains the better value at home. Expect a tighter contest with both starting pitchers capable of generating strikeouts, though the Rangers should do just enough to avoid a series loss.
Final Score: Rangers 5, Astros 4
Lean: Texas Rangers Moneyline (-132)
Total: Over 8.5 (-106)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
