Houston (23-21) at Texas (24-22)
- When: May 17 2025, 7:05 PM
- Where: Globe Life Field, Arlington
- Where to watch: RSN
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers – Game Preview and Prediction
Moneyline: Texas -125
Total: 8.5
The battle for Texas continues Saturday night as the Houston Astros and Texas Rangers face off in Game 3 of their four-game series at Globe Life Field in Arlington. Both teams have split the first two games, with the Astros rallying for a 6-3 win on Friday after being blanked 1-0 in the series opener. Houston’s offense came alive in the seventh inning of Game 2, scoring all six of their runs in a thrilling comeback that saw Cam Smith, Isaac Paredes, and Christian Walker deliver clutch two-out hits, with Walker capping it off with a three-run blast.
Houston Astros Overview
The Astros will turn to Ronel Blanco (3-3, 4.04 ERA) for Saturday’s showdown. Blanco has been solid recently, going 2-1 in his last four outings while giving up just seven runs over 25 2/3 innings. His last start was a masterpiece eight scoreless innings against the Cincinnati Reds, where he allowed just two hits and struck out a career-high 11 batters.
Manager Joe Espada praised Blanco’s confidence and command, stating that he’s finally hitting the form the Astros expected from him last season when he went 13-6 with a 2.80 ERA. Blanco’s career numbers against Texas are respectable 2-1 with a 3.08 ERA in seven appearances, four of which were starts. He has managed to keep the Rangers’ bats relatively quiet, surrendering only 12 runs across 26 1/3 innings while fanning 20.
Texas Rangers Overview
The Rangers are countering with Tyler Mahle (4-1, 1.47 ERA), who has been nothing short of spectacular this season. Mahle’s ERA ranks third in the majors, and he’s been a model of consistency, allowing two runs or fewer in each of his nine starts. In his last outing, Mahle was dominant, going 6 1/3 innings and giving up just one run on four hits in a 2-1 win over the Colorado Rockies.
Although Mahle has been dominant this season, he has struggled historically against the Astros, holding a 0-2 record with a 3.50 ERA in three career starts. Over 18 innings, he’s allowed seven runs on 17 hits while striking out 15 and walking three. Texas will be hoping Mahle can finally solve the Astros and keep their bats in check.
Prediction and Final Score:
This one is shaping up to be a pitcher’s duel, but the Astros’ knack for clutch hitting and Blanco’s newfound groove give them the edge. Look for Houston to take a tight one on the road with a final score of 4-3, extending their momentum and taking the lead in this heated Texas rivalry.
Score Prediction: Astros 4, Rangers 3
Best Bet: Houston ML (+105)
Total: Under 8.5 (-115)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
