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Marlins vs Pirates MLB Baseball Odds & Parlay Picks

Miami and Pittsburgh will both be trying to pick up a win when they battle at PNC Park.

(Photo by Getty Images) Mitch Keller

Miami (24-40) at Pittsburgh (27-40)

  • When: Jun 10 2025, 6:40 PM
  • Where: PNC Park, Pittsburgh
  • Where to watch: SportsNet PT

Marlins vs. Pirates – Game Betting Preview & Prediction

Moneyline: Pittsburgh -135 | Total: 8.5

Pittsburgh Pirates Outlook

The Pirates enter Tuesday’s matchup as modest -135 moneyline favorites, with the over/under set at 8.5. Riding a four‑game winning streak, their best stretch of 2025, Pittsburgh is finally capitalizing on timely hitting and dependable bullpen work.

Mitch Keller (1‑8, 4.13 ERA) gets the nod despite an ugly win–loss record. The right‑hander has quietly posted six straight starts of at least six innings, and he’s handled Miami well in the past (2‑0, 3.06 ERA across seven career starts). If Keller keeps the walk total in check, Pittsburgh’s offense should have enough breathing room to extend its run of success.

Miami Marlins Outlook

Miami limps into PNC Park having dropped seven of its last eight contests. The club hands the ball to Sandy Alcantara (2‑7, 7.89 ERA), who showed signs of life his last time out, allowing only two runs over six frames versus Colorado.

It was the first time in seven outings the former Cy Young winner held an opponent under four runs, and just his second six‑inning appearance of 2025. Historically, Alcantara owns solid numbers against the Pirates (1‑0, 3.03 ERA), but he’ll need sharper command to give Miami’s sputtering lineup a chance.The Marlins recently welcomed Eury Perez back from his lengthy Tommy John rehab, hoping a stronger rotation can stop the bleeding.

Final Score Prediction:

Pittsburgh’s momentum and Keller’s track record against Miami tilt this one toward the home side, though neither offense is explosive enough to expect a runaway. Alcantara’s incremental progress suggests he can keep things close, but the Pirates’ current form gives them the edge.

Score Prediction: Pirates 4, Marlins 3
Pick: Pirates ML (-135)
Total: Under 8.5 (-115)

The Open 2025 Odds

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