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Minnesota (15-4) at New York (12-8)
- When: Jul 3 2026, 7:30 PM
- Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY, USA
- TV: ION
Minnesota vs New York Preview & Prediction
Spread: Minnesota -2.0
Moneyline: Minnesota (-135)
Total: 174.0
The Minnesota Lynx enter Friday’s marquee WNBA showdown as 2.0-point favorites, while the total is set at 174.0. Although Minnesota owns the league’s best record, this matchup offers intriguing value on the underdog, with New York carrying momentum after its Commissioner’s Cup triumph.
New York Liberty Betting Preview
The Liberty appear to have found their rhythm at the perfect time. Sabrina Ionescu reminded everyone why she’s one of the league’s elite guards by exploding for a season-high 26 points against Las Vegas, knocking down five three-pointers while attacking the basket with confidence.
That performance came at the ideal moment as New York’s starting unit finally looks healthy and settled. Breanna Stewart continues to lead the way on both ends of the floor, while Jonquel Jones, Leonie Fiebich, and rookie point guard Pauline Astier provide a balanced supporting cast capable of matching Minnesota’s physical style.
Liberty Player Prop Pick: Breanna Stewart Over 18.5 Points
Stewart consistently rises in marquee matchups and should carry a heavy offensive workload. Expect plenty of scoring opportunities against one of the league’s top defensive teams.
Minnesota Lynx Betting Preview
Minnesota enters with a league-best 15-4 record despite playing the entire season without Napheesa Collier, who continues progressing toward a return from ankle surgery. The Lynx have received tremendous production from rookie sensation Olivia Miles, who averages 18.7 points, 5.7 assists, 4.8 rebounds, and 1.4 steals while emerging as both Rookie of the Year and MVP candidate.
Veteran Natasha Howard has also delivered one of the best seasons of her career, averaging 17.7 points and 8.2 rebounds while leading the WNBA in field-goal percentage at 61.1%.
Lynx Player Prop Pick: Olivia Miles Over 5.5 Assists
Miles controls Minnesota’s offense and consistently creates quality looks for teammates. Her playmaking ability makes another strong assist total an attractive betting option.
WNBA Final Score & Expert Prediction
Minnesota deserves respect, but New York’s confidence is soaring after its championship victory. If Ionescu continues her resurgence alongside Stewart’s leadership, the Liberty have an excellent chance to steal this one on the road.
Final Score: Liberty 91, Lynx 87
Lean: New York Liberty ML (+115)
Total: Over 174.0
- WNBA Playoffs Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
