NY Mets (46-31) at Philadelphia (46-31)
- When: Jun 22 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
- Where to watch: ESPN
Mets vs Phillies – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Philadelphia -115 | Total: 9.5
New York Mets: Booming Bats or Another Mirage?
Just when everyone was writing their eulogy, the Mets exploded for seven solo homers Saturday night, tying a major league record and stunning Philly in an 11-4 shellacking. Brandon Nimmo and Juan Soto each went yard twice, while Francisco Lindor, Jared Young, and Francisco Alvarez joined the slugfest. That barrage helped New York snap a seven-game skid and leap back into a tie atop the NL East.
David Peterson (5-2, 2.60 ERA) gets the ball Sunday. He’s been solid but shaky in spots, especially against Philadelphia, holding a 1-3 record with a 4.82 ERA in 11 career appearances. Still, he delivered seven strong innings in a no-decision against Atlanta last time out.
Mets Prediction: If the bats stay warm, Peterson just needs to be average. The Mets should make this one ugly early.
Mets Prop Picks:
Juan Soto Over 1.5 Total Bases — He’s red-hot, fresh off a 4-hit game.
Francisco Lindor to Record an RBI — His swing is locked in and he’s driven in runs in 3 of his last 4.
Philadelphia Phillies: Time to Respond
After a dominant stretch where Philly went 9-1, Saturday’s humbling loss was a gut check. They didn’t go deep for the first time in 11 games and got blitzed by a Mets team that suddenly remembered how to hit.
Jesus Luzardo (6-3, 4.41 ERA) gets the nod and hopes to restore order. His record against the Mets is respectable, 4-2 with a 3.02 ERA in eight starts but he’s coming off a rough outing versus Miami.
If Philly’s offense gets rolling again, expect Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper to lead the retaliation.
Phillies Prediction: The bounce-back is real. This is a “burn the tape” moment from Saturday. Expect sharper at-bats and a more aggressive approach early.
Phillies Prop Picks:
Kyle Schwarber Over 0.5 HR — He’s due, and nobody punishes lefties like he does.
Trea Turner Over 1.5 Total Bases — Silent Saturday, but this dude doesn’t stay cold long.
Betting Insight & Prediction
This game could turn into another slugfest, but with both starters capable of settling in, the under 9.5 has sneaky value. However, with Philly at home and Luzardo due for a solid start, the lean is Phillies -115 in a tight one.
Final Score Prediction: Phillies 5, Mets 4
Lean: Philadelphia ML (-115)
Total: Under 9.5 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
