NY Yankees (41-25) at Kansas City (34-34)
- When: Jun 12 2025, 7:40 PM
- Where: Kauffman Stadium, Kansas City
- Where to watch: MLB Network
Yankees vs Royals – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: NY Yankees -150 | Total: 9.0
New York Yankees Outlook
Priced as –150 road favorites with a 9.0 total, the Yankees arrive on a five-game offensive heater (39 runs) and are one win away from an 8-0 sweep of Kansas City in 2025. Aaron Judge (.394 AVG) has tortured the Royals, 10-for-19, three homers, but draws a familiar foe in Seth Lugo, who’s held him to 1-for-11 with five strikeouts lifetime. Even so, Judge and company have ripped Royals pitching for 12 runs through two games, including a five-spot in the second inning Wednesday.
New York counters with rookie right-hander Will Warren (4-3, 5.34 ERA). After a strong May run, Warren has wobbled (11 ER in his last 6⅔ IP) but benefits from MLB’s best bullpen behind him.
Kansas City Royals Outlook
Kansas City is 10-18 since its 24-16 start and has plated three runs or fewer in every meeting with New York. Lugo (3-5, 3.46 ERA) owns a sturdy 3.00 lifetime ERA versus the Yankees and limited Chicago to two runs last time out.
Offensively, the Royals lean on Vinnie Pasquantino, riding an 11-game hitting streak (.429) and Salvador Perez, who went yard in the ninth inning Wednesday. Yet they’ve mustered only two runs off Yankee starters in 13 innings this series and average just 3.2 runs during their skid.
Player Prop Picks
Yankees: DJ LeMahieu Over 1.5 Hits + Walks — owns a 7-for-12 history vs. Lugo and bats ahead of Judge for added plate appearances.
Royals: Vinnie Pasquantino Over 0.5 RBIs — RBI in five of his last seven and faces a rookie starter with recent command issues.
Prediction & Betting Outlook
New York’s lineup depth and bullpen quality outweigh Lugo’s situational edge over Judge. Warren’s recent struggles keep the door ajar for KC early, but expect the Yankees to capitalize on a shaky Royals relief corps and complete the season sweep.
Final Score Prediction: Yankees 6, Royals 4
Lean: NY Yankees RL -1.5 (+110)
Total: Over 9.0 (-105)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
