Pittsburgh (14-29) at NY Mets (28-15)
- When: May 13 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Citi Field, Flushing, Queens
- Where to watch: SportsNet PT
Pirates vs. Mets – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: NY Mets (-300)
Total: 8.0
New York Mets Overview
The New York Mets are riding high, looking to complete the sweep against the struggling Pittsburgh Pirates after a dramatic 2-1 win on Tuesday. Brett Baty’s clutch go-ahead home run in the seventh inning was yet another sign that he belongs in the big leagues for good. Since his return from Triple-A Syracuse on May 5, Baty has been a revelation, smashing four home runs in just five games after hitting only one in his first 19 appearances. His spark has been a huge lift for the Mets, who now lead the NL East and have won six of their last eight games.
But it’s not just Baty carrying the load. Rookie sensation Luisangel Acuna has been a menace on the basepaths with 10 steals in 11 attempts, showing off elite speed that disrupts opposing pitchers. Meanwhile, the Mets’ starting rotation has been solid, with Clay Holmes (5-1, 2.74 ERA) set to take the mound. Holmes, alongside Griffin Canning, has been dominant this season, combining for a 10-2 record with a 2.55 ERA in 16 starts. The bullpen has also been surprisingly sharp, with Brazoban, Kranick, and Garrett posting a collective 2.02 ERA.
Holmes has been particularly effective against his former team, posting a 1.93 ERA in five relief appearances versus the Pirates. He’s coming off a strong outing, allowing just one run over six innings in a 7-2 victory over the Cubs. Look for him to continue that dominance against a Pittsburgh lineup that has been ice-cold.
Player Prop Picks for the Mets:
Clay Holmes Under 1.5 Total Earned Runs – Holmes dominates on the mound, limiting hits and keeping runs in check.
Luisangel Acuna Over 0.5 Total Bases – His speed and bat have been electric; expect him to find ways to reach.
Pittsburgh Pirates Overview
It’s been a rough stretch for the Pittsburgh Pirates, who find themselves stuck at the bottom of the NL Central. Offensive woes have been their Achilles’ heel, as they’ve scored four or fewer runs in 19 straight games. Despite some decent pitching, they just can’t seem to push runs across, even in critical moments. That was evident on Tuesday night when they stranded 11 runners, including nine in scoring position.
Pittsburgh’s new skipper, Don Kelly, hasn’t had much better luck than his predecessor, Derek Shelton, who was shown the door last Thursday. Despite some close contests, the Pirates are just 2-3 under Kelly, with their offensive struggles continuing to haunt them. The ninth inning of Tuesday’s game was a microcosm of their season—runners on second and third with one out, but Edwin Diaz slammed the door by striking out Bryan Reynolds and inducing a groundout from Joey Bart.
Bailey Falter (2-3, 4.36 ERA) will try to stop the bleeding for the Pirates. He’s coming off a solid outing, tossing six scoreless innings in a 3-2 win over the Braves. However, his history against the Mets isn’t great, with a 1-3 record and a 3.86 ERA in six appearances (five starts). Pittsburgh’s offensive inconsistency is a real concern, and Falter will need to be near-perfect to give them a fighting chance.
Player Prop Picks for the Pirates:
Bryan Reynolds Over 0.5 Total Bases – Despite recent struggles, he’s been their most reliable bat.
Bailey Falter Over 3.5 Strikeouts – He’s shown flashes of dominance, and the Mets do strike out.
Expert Prediction and Final Score:
The Mets are simply on another level right now, with Baty and Acuna sparking the offense and Holmes dominating on the mound. Pittsburgh’s inability to score consistently, coupled with Falter’s struggles against New York, makes this a tall task for the Pirates. Expect the Mets to complete the sweep with a 5-2 victory.
Score Prediction: Mets 5, Pirates 2
Lean: NY Mets -1.5 (-135)
Total: Under 8.0 (-110)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
