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Yankees vs Red Sox MLB Baseball Odds & Expert Picks

(Photo by Getty Images) Carlos Rodón

NY Yankees (42-26) at Boston (35-36)

  • When: Jun 14 2025, 7:15 PM
  • Where: Fenway Park, Boston
  • Where to watch: FOX

Yankees vs Red Sox – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props

Moneyline: NY Yankees -162 | Total: 8.0

Boston Red Sox Outlook

The Red Sox are heating up at the right time. After a gritty 2-1 extra-inning win over the Yankees on Friday, Boston is riding a three-game win streak and has now taken three straight from their biggest rival. Even more surprising? They’re slowly flipping the script in close games, improving to 8-17 in one-run contests and 5-8 in extras.

Manager Alex Cora believes it’s just baseball karma catching up. After losing so many tight games early in the season, the tides are finally turning. The Sox played clean ball Friday night and have a golden opportunity to clinch the series with a win on Saturday.

On the hill, Hunter Dobbins (3-1, 4.20 ERA) gets the nod. The rookie right-hander is looking for his second win against the Yankees in under a week. In their last meeting, he allowed three runs over five innings, including two homers and walked away with the W. He’ll need to be sharper this time around against a hungry Yankees lineup.

Top Player Props – Red Sox

  • Rafael Devers Over 1.5 Total Bases – Devers is locked in and has feasted on lefties like Rodon this season.

  • Jarren Duran to Record a Stolen Base – With speed and aggressive baserunning, he could swipe one if he gets on.

New York Yankees Breakdown

The Yankees had their three-game winning streak snapped in dramatic fashion Friday night. Aaron Judge came through with his 26th home run to tie the game in the 9th, but extra innings turned into chaos: a replay overturned Volpe’s steal, DJ LeMahieu was called out on a foul that wasn’t reversed, and both he and manager Aaron Boone got tossed for protesting.

Boone was vocal postgame, blaming the officials for lacking the guts to overturn what he saw as a clear mistake. Still, he praised his team’s fight, calling it “an awesome game to be in.”

Carlos Rodon (8-4, 2.87 ERA) will try to right the ship Saturday. His history vs. Boston is a mixed bag, 4-5 with a 4.29 ERA in 10 starts and he’s looking to bounce back from last Sunday’s rough outing where he allowed five runs in five innings.

Top Player Props – Yankees

Prediction & Betting Outlook

Boston is suddenly clutch in close games, and they’ve had New York’s number lately. However, with Rodon looking to bounce back and Judge swinging a sledgehammer, this one could go the Yankees’ way.

Final Score Prediction: Yankees 5, Red Sox 3
Lean: NY Yankees RL -1.5 (+100)
Total: 
Under 8.5 Alt Lines (-125)

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