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Indiana (12-11) at New York (15-6)
- When: Jul 22 2025, 8:00 PM
- Where: Barclays Center, Brooklyn, NY, USA
- TV: ESPN
WNBA Preview and Prediction: Indiana Fever vs. New York Liberty
Spread: New York -11.5 | Total: 163.0
New York Liberty Breakdown
The Liberty return from the All-Star break looking recharged and ready to dominate, especially with Jonquel Jones expected to make her long-awaited return. Jones, who has missed nine games due to a right ankle injury, remains a key piece of New York’s interior presence, averaging 12.1 points and 9.6 rebounds per game.
New York (15-6) had a rocky stretch without Jones, but the squad has regained its rhythm, riding a three-game winning streak into Tuesday’s matchup. Their most recent performance, a commanding 98-77 win over Indiana, showcased their offensive efficiency, shooting 57.8% from the field and over 50% from three-point range.
Breanna Stewart continues to lead the way with 19.7 points per game, but it’s the combined firepower of Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu, and Jones that makes this team one of the league’s most dangerous. Playing at home and favored by 11.5 points, the Liberty look well-positioned to continue their momentum and control the pace of this game.
Indiana Fever Breakdown
The Fever (12-11) face another challenge as Caitlin Clark is expected to sit out with lingering groin issues. Clark’s absence leaves a major gap in playmaking and offensive flow. Without her, Indiana will lean heavily on Kelsey Mitchell and Sophie Cunningham, who combined for 28 points in their last meeting with New York.
While Indiana’s record shows promise, their defensive struggles against top-tier teams are glaring. In the previous matchup with New York, they allowed the Liberty to score at will, failing to contain perimeter shooters or dominate the boards. The team will need a near-perfect game to avoid another blowout loss.
WNBA Game Prediction
New York’s depth, returning stars, and home-court advantage should overpower Indiana’s depleted lineup. Even with Mitchell’s scoring, the Fever’s defense won’t hold up against New York’s offensive versatility and ball movement. Expect the Liberty to dictate tempo early and close this one out decisively.
Score Prediction: New York 90, Indiana 75
Best Bet: New York -11.5
Total: Over 163.0
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
