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Connecticut (5-25) at Golden State (15-15)
- When: Aug 11 2025, 10:00 PM
- Where: Chase Center, San Francisco, CA, USA
- TV: NBCS-BOS
Connecticut vs Golden State – WNBA Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Spread: Golden State -8.5 | Total: 156.0
Golden State Valkyries Betting Breakdown
Golden State (15-15) has quietly become one of the WNBA’s toughest defensive units, allowing just 77.8 points per game. Saturday’s 72-59 clampdown on the Sparks was their second-best defensive outing all season and snapped LA’s 100-point streak in emphatic fashion.
Despite losing Kayla Thornton (14 PPG, 7 RPG) for the season, the Valkyries are 5-3 since, largely thanks to balanced team scoring and relentless defensive rotations. Veronica Burton has stepped up in a big way, scoring in double figures in five of her last seven games, including 16 points, five boards, and five assists on Saturday.
Player Prop Pick – Veronica Burton Over 10.5 Points
With Connecticut’s defense giving up over 92 PPG on this trip, Burton’s increased offensive role should translate into another strong scoring night.
Connecticut Sun Betting Breakdown
At 5-25, Connecticut is simply trying to stop the bleeding, especially on the road, where they’ve dropped 12 straight. The Sun opened hot against Las Vegas on Sunday, dropping 31 points in the first quarter, but once again faded late, giving up 94 in the loss.
Defense has been the glaring issue, with opponents averaging 87.6 points per game overall and 92.7 during this road trip. Tina Charles was the difference-maker in the previous meeting with Golden State, scoring 24 points in a blowout win on July 27, their lone bright spot in weeks.
Player Prop Pick – Tina Charles Over 13.5 Points
Charles remains Connecticut’s most consistent scoring threat and should get plenty of looks against a Valkyries frontcourt missing Thornton’s size.
Prediction & Betting Angle
Golden State’s defense, coupled with Connecticut’s second-half collapses, points toward the Valkyries controlling pace and covering the spread. The Sun may start fast, but Golden State’s depth and defensive execution should take over late.
Best Bet: Golden State -8.5
Toral: Under 156.0
Final Score Prediction: Golden State 83, Connecticut 70
- WNBA Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
