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Detroit (70-52) at Minnesota (57-63)
- When: Aug 14 2025, 7:40 PM
- Where: Target Field, Minneapolis
- Where to watch: MNNT
Tigers vs Twins – Game Preview, Prediction and Player Props
Moneyline: Detroit -213
Total: 7.5
RunLine: Detroit -1.5 (-120)
Detroit Tigers Betting Outlook
The Tigers enter Thursday’s matchup as the moneyline favorite at -213, with the game total set at 7.5 runs. Ace left-hander Tarik Skubal (11-3, 2.35 ERA) will be looking to bounce back after an unusually brief outing against the Angels, where he allowed four runs over 4 2/3 innings. That performance snapped a streak of 39 consecutive starts in which he went at least five innings.
Despite last week’s stumble, Skubal remains one of MLB’s most dominant arms and has a solid track record against Minnesota, a 5-3 record with a 3.17 ERA in 13 career starts. His most recent clash with the Twins on June 29 was a gem: 13 strikeouts, one hit allowed, and seven shutout innings. Detroit’s pitching staff will lean on him to stifle a Minnesota offense that lit them up for 18 runs and eight homers in last week’s series.
The Tigers are riding momentum after a 1-0 win over the White Sox, having taken three of their last four games. A focused Skubal against a struggling opposing starter gives Detroit a prime chance to extend their run.
Tigers Prop Pick: Tarik Skubal Over 7.5 strikeouts – His strikeout dominance against Minnesota earlier this season suggests another big punchout night is possible.
Minnesota Twins Betting Outlook
Minnesota snapped a two-game skid with a 4-1 win over the Yankees on Wednesday, their first victory at Yankee Stadium since April 2023. They’ll send Bailey Ober (4-7, 5.16 ERA) to the mound, a pitcher who hasn’t tasted victory since May 3 and is mired in a rough stretch with a 7.68 ERA over his past seven starts. His last trip to Detroit on June 28 was brutal: seven runs allowed on 11 hits, including four home runs, in just 5 2/3 innings.
Offensively, the Twins will count on Byron Buxton and Luke Keaschall to make things happen. Buxton, just back from the IL, has been productive against Detroit this season (.304 AVG, 4 HR, 3 SB in six games), while Keaschall torched the Tigers for six RBIs in his first series back from injury last week. If the Twins can get early traffic on base, they might have a shot to rattle Skubal, but that’s easier said than done.
Twins Prop Pick: Byron Buxton to hit a home run – Given his power numbers against Detroit, he’s a dangerous bat that can flip the game with one swing.
MLB Prediction & Betting Angle
With Skubal on the hill and Ober’s struggles in recent months, the Tigers hold a clear pitching edge. Expect Detroit’s ace to set the tone early and the offense to do enough damage to cover the chalk.
Final Score Prediction: Tigers 5, Twins 2
Lean: Detroit -1.5 (-120)
Total: Under 7.5 (-118)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
