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Phillies Love Luzardo, Yankees Definitely Don’t

MLB Odds, Picks and Predictions for Yankees vs. Phillies Friday showdown.

(Photo by Getty Images) Jesus Luzardo
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NY Yankees (57-45) at Philadelphia (56-47)

  • When: Jul 24 2026, 6:45 PM
  • Where: Citizens Bank Park, Philadelphia
  • TV: Apple TV+

NY Yankees vs Philadelphia MLB Preview & Pick

Moneyline: Philadelphia -131 
Runline: Philadelphia -1.5 (+170)
Total: 7.5

Bronx Bats Missing

The Yankees arrive in Philadelphia looking for answers after splitting a doubleheader with Pittsburgh, where they somehow managed to score in only two of 18 innings. Aaron Boone keeps repeating the same speech, and Yankees fans are probably mouthing the words with him. Without Aaron Judge, who remains sidelined with a fractured right rib, New York’s lineup has gone from “Murderers’ Row” to “Can somebody please get a hit?”

Southpaw Success

Jesus Luzardo (9-4, 3.43 ERA) has become Philadelphia’s lucky charm, with the Phillies winning each of his last 10 starts. He allowed just one run over five innings against the Mets in his first outing after the All-Star break. The only catch? The Yankees have somehow been his personal nightmare, as Luzardo owns an 0-3 record with an 18.36 ERA against New York. Baseball loves making absolutely no sense.

Fresh Arm Ready

Will Warren (7-4, 4.00 ERA) gets the ball after a brief relief appearance earlier this week. His last start was solid, allowing only one run in five innings against Washington, and he’ll look to build on that momentum. Warren owns a 4.91 ERA in 11 career innings against Philadelphia, but both previous starts ended without a decision. At least he’s consistent at keeping everyone equally confused.

Offense Optional

Philadelphia hasn’t exactly been launching fireworks either, scoring one run in three of its six games since the All-Star break. Alec Bohm finally provided some life with a homer and three RBIs on Wednesday, but this matchup still feels like a contest between two offenses hoping the other one forgets to show up. With Luzardo’s recent dominance, the Phillies hold the edge at home.

Final Score: Phillies 5, Yankees 2
Lean: Philadelphia -1.5 (+170)
Total: 
Under 7.5 (-110) 

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