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NY Mets (3-3) at San Francisco (2-4)
- When: Apr 2 2026, 9:45 PM
- Where: Oracle Park, San Francisco
- Where to watch: MLB Network
NY Mets vs San Francisco MLB Preview & Pick
Moneyline: NY Mets -123
Runline: NY Mets -1.5 (+136)
Total: 7.5
New York Mets Betting Breakdown
The Mets enter as slight favorites at -123, but their offense has been anything but reliable. They are hitting just .113 with runners in scoring position over the last five games, which is about as cold as it gets.
There’s talent here with names like Francisco Lindor and Juan Soto, but execution has been poor. New additions have yet to settle, and the timing at the plate is clearly off.
The good news is on the mound. David Peterson looked sharp in his debut, tossing 5.1 scoreless innings. He has shown the ability to manage contact and keep games under control, which is critical in a low-scoring environment.
Against a Giants lineup that has also struggled, Peterson is in a strong position to dictate pace.
Mets Prop Pick: Peterson over 4.5 strikeouts – He should work deep enough into the game to clear this number against an inconsistent offense.
San Francisco Giants Betting Breakdown
San Francisco has had its own issues. A slow offensive start combined with defensive lapses has made it difficult to build momentum.
The lineup has not produced consistently, and frustration is already creeping in. Even veterans like Matt Chapman have shown visible signs of tension on the field.
On the mound, Robbie Ray has been steady but not dominant. He allowed two runs over 5.1 innings in his first outing, but he is not overpowering hitters at the moment.
Against a Mets lineup that is struggling, he could keep things close, but his strikeout ceiling looks limited in this spot.
Giants Prop Pick: Ray under 5.5 strikeouts – He may be efficient, but not necessarily racking up strikeouts in volume.
Expert Picks & Final Score Prediction
The Mets are favored at -123 for a reason, but neither offense inspires confidence. This profiles as a pitching-driven contest where execution in small moments decides the outcome.
Peterson has the slight edge over Ray, and that may be enough given how both offenses are performing.
With the total sitting at 7.5, this leans toward a controlled, low-scoring game.
This is not about explosive offense. It is about which pitcher controls the game better, and Peterson holds that edge.
Final Score: Mets 4, Giants 2
Lean: NY Mets (-123)
Total: Under 7. (-115)
- MLB Baseball Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
