Tampa Bay (35-30) at Boston (32-35)
- When: Jun 9 2025, 7:10 PM
- Where: Fenway Park, Boston
- Where to watch: FDSSUN
Rays vs. Red Sox – Game Betting Preview & Prediction
Moneyline: Boston -115 | Total: 9.0
Boston Red Sox Outlook
The Red Sox head home as -115 moneyline favorites on Monday night, with the total set at 8.5 runs. After a momentum-building weekend in the Bronx, Boston is hoping that an offensive surge can carry over into their six-game homestand, which starts against AL East foe Tampa Bay.
Boston’s bats have come alive, scoring six or more runs in four straight games and logging back-to-back double-digit performances to close out their series win over the Yankees. Sunday’s 11-7 victory was powered by 12 hits, including a clutch three-run homer from Carlos Narvaez and a three-hit night from Abraham Toro, who added two doubles and a solo shot of his own.
Even with key players like Alex Bregman sidelined, manager Alex Cora has seen contributions from all corners of the lineup. Rookie Marcelo Mayer remains on a cautious developmental path, but Cora has expressed full confidence in his long-term importance.
On the mound, Brayan Bello (2-1, 3.91 ERA) will get the nod. He broke a stretch of short outings with six solid innings against the Angels last week, giving up three runs. While that wasn’t enough to secure the win, it showed improvement. Bello has struggled in his career vs. Tampa (2-4, 5.73 ERA), but he’s also shown strikeout upside with 13 punchouts over two starts against them last year.
Tampa Bay Rays Outlook
Tampa rolls into Fenway red-hot, having taken five of six on their most recent homestand and going 14-4 since May 20, the best mark in the majors during that stretch. Their latest win, a 3-2 grind-it-out effort over Miami, showed their ability to win tight games with smart baserunning, timely hitting, and solid defense.
Yandy Díaz continues to lead the charge, delivering his sixth three-hit game of the season on Sunday, including a game-tying homer and a late double that sparked the go-ahead run. This Rays squad doesn’t rely solely on power, they find creative ways to win, and their execution has been near flawless lately.
Right-hander Shane Baz (5-3, 4.96 ERA) takes the hill for Tampa, and he’s had Boston’s number in his young career. In three starts vs. the Red Sox, Baz is a perfect 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and 24 strikeouts in 19 innings. He dominated them earlier this season, fanning 11 over six innings while giving up just two hits.
Betting Outlook & Prediction
This matchup is tighter than the odds suggest. Boston’s offense is on fire, but Baz has consistently silenced their bats. With both starters having up-and-down tendencies, this could come down to bullpen execution and late-game decisions.
Score Prediction: Rays 6, Red Sox 5
Pick: Tampa Bay ML (-102)
Total: Over 9.0 (-111)
- MLB Odds source: MyBookie Sportsbook
- Get real-time live scores & latest betting odds here!
