2025 Canadian Federal Election Odds
Updated: April 28, 2025
45th Federal Election
Next Government of Canada
Liberal Majority -125
Liberal Minority +350
Conservative Majority +750
Conservative Minority +400
Any Other Result +8000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Alberta
Conservative Party -100000
Liberal Party +5000
New Democratic Party +20000
Green Party +25000
People’s Party +25000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in British Columbia
Liberal Party -130
Conservative Party EVEN
New Democratic Party +10000
Green Party +20000
People’s Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Manitoba
Conservative Party -185
Liberal Party +150
New Democratic Party +10000
Any Other Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in New Brunswick
Liberal Party -1600
Conservative Party +700
New Democratic Party +10000
Any Other Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Northwest Territories
Liberal Party -100000
Conservative Party +2500
New Democratic Party +7500
Any Other Party +25000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Nova Scotia
Liberal Party -2000
Conservative Party +900
New Democratic Party +10000
Any Other Party +25000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Nunavut
New Democratic Party -105
Liberal Party -125
Conservative Party +3500
Any Other Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which Party wins most seats in Ontario
Liberal Party -2000
Conservative Party +900
New Democratic Party +10000
Green Party +20000
People’s Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Prince Edward Island
Liberal Party -1600
Conservative Party +700
Any Other Party +10000
New Democratic Party +10000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Quebec
Liberal Party -1000
Bloc Québécois +600
Conservative Party +4500
New Democratic Party +7500
People’s Party +15000
Green Party +20000
Any Other Party +30000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Saskatchewan
Conservative Party -100000
Liberal Party +8000
New Democratic Party +10000
Any Other Party +20000
45th Federal Election
Which party wins most seats in Yukon
Liberal Party -700
Conservative Party +450
New Democratic Party +7500
Any Other Party +12500
45th Federal Election
Will Jagmeet Singh lose his seat
Yes -900
No +500
45th Federal Election
Will Mark Carney lose his seat
Yes +1000
No -4000
45th Federal Election
Will Pierre Poilievre lose his seat
Yes +800
No -2000
45th Federal Election
Prime Minister After Next Election
Mark Carney (Liberal Party of Canada) -450
Pierre Poilievre (Conservative Party of Canada) +285
Jagmeet Singh (New Democratic Party) +8000
Elizabeth May (Green Party of Canada) +50000
Yves-François Blanchet (Bloc Québécois) +100000
Maxime Bernier (People’s Party of Canada) +100000
Politics Odds source: Bovada Sportsbook
